All Races Are NOT Created Equal. Trading All Of Them May Be Bad On Betfair

The Number 1 Strategy To Survive Your First Month Trading On Betfair And Profit

Planning and a good strategy prevents piss poor performance. Or so Frank Le Duc C.O. said at my old squadron.

Pretty easy to be prepared for everything a day of trading will throw at you, huh? Simply, write out your structure or rules to follow. Stick to your strategy. The alternative? Trial and error. You sure? It can be a very costly and painful experience. Without a plan you don’t give yourself the best chance of success.

Trading is no different to any other market. If you are prepared and follow a good plan – knowing which type of races produce the best and most consistent results for you, which tactics and strategy to use on those races and the staking plans that work best or YOU!

All races are not created equal. Trading in all of them may be a bad move. It is for me. Most produce very inconsistent results. However trading on a selection that you have identified as suitable will give you a far greater chance of success. Why not take a look at the list we update 24/7 for the selections we are considering for trades today? Or maybe another way to build a potential list to trade is to consider that the most successful trainers get regular winners by placing their best horses in races they have a very good chance of winning. Why would you put yourself at a disadvantage and trade every race on Betfair? Bonkers.

You need plenty of patience to become a profitable Betfair trader.

We have all heard the saying patience is a virtue. This probably applies to trading more than most things in life. Most traders, including me, have very little. Do you really think that you can place a few trades each day on every race and trade a profit? Think again.

It is very unlikely that you will trade to a profit on a regular basis and losses are pretty much assured. You can only expect a consistent return from your trades if you have done your homework and follow a proven plan and stick to your strategy.

The actual chances of becoming a successful trader on Betfair are very slim.

Remember, be patient and wait for the right races to come along before you decide to trade. Or set up an automated strategy as I do to identify, based on past success, the races you should get involved with.

It takes a lot of discipline. Believe me it will definitely be worth it, because it will become the foundation of your success.

Most punters  lose on a regular basis. That’s why you trade on Betfair. You don’t want to be a loser. Punters lose because they are not emotionally prepared and don’t follow even the most basic betting essentials.

In order to have consistency when trading you must follow a proven system. Even following your system there will be the occasional loss. Losing races are an unavoidable part of trading. Even a really profitable system will have the odd losing race. But it is the weeks and months ahead that matter.

There are so many random factors in racing that can affect a strategy’s performance. However, systems offer us the best way of making consistent profits and any sequence of losing trades will ultimately be followed by a sequence of winning ones. Once you understand this fact consistent profit will never be far away.

Most traders don’t use a system for long enough before they start to chop and change things so they never end up making any consistent profit. Very often they stop using a system after a few losses. Ultimately they revert back to their old stupid behaviour of no plan trading.

On the other hand traders that follow a proven system are informed and prepared and have past experience of betting patterns. They know that any losing trade will not affect the long term goal of making money.

Trading dynamics aren’t as you would expect. Talk to any trader. All have losing days. Most have losing weeks. But take a longer view over a month or more they are profitable year in, year out.

There’s a phrase in poker. You have to have a “Positive Expectancy” which means although you may lose sometimes on the whole following a proven trading strategy which you have created for yourself by your own research you should expect your profits to outweigh your losses.

Learn to think with a “Positive Expectancy” and with a good plan you will succeed and be profitable in the long-term. And always stick to your strategy.

Most punters are greedy. Many traders are too. This greed clouds their view of what to realistically expect in return for their trading. Many traders, most perhaps, spend virtually no time on the selection process and lack the knowledge needed to back up their trading decisions. They just trade the favourite by the seat of their pants with no chance of being successful with any consistency.

Their obsession with money means that open losses escalate, there are no scratch trades and their trading turns in to gambling. Very often they put the final nail in their coffin by not closing out before the race and… well, you know the rest. Another trader blows a bank because he became a gambler. I will say this once. Any trader who is serious should never, ever, even consider trading in running until they have at least a year of SUCCESSFUL trading on Betfair under their belt.

You should be positive in your decision to place a trade, but don’t be greedy! A 1 tick offset – always use the offset – is great when you start. Only expect to trade profitably long term if you follow a good plan – yours – and execute discipline at all times. Being greedy will lead to failure and wipe out any money that you have built up. More importantly it will damage any faith or belief you had to succeed.

Many traders that lose on even one market go in to tilt. They try to regain their loss regardless of a suitable opportunity being available. This crazy action usually causes them to lose even more money.

What they fail to realise is tomorrow is another day and there is racing seven days a week in the UK. There will be plenty more opportunities to profit from, but not necessarily on the same day. Patience, observation and planning will regain the winning trades sooner if not later.

Also, don’t chase losses. If you do it won’t take too long for your trading bank to be seriously depleted.

Why do most traders on Betfair still lose even when they use a good racing system patiently? They lack the discipline to follow the system religiously to the letter. Or the system is flawed. The one thing all good systems have in common is a clear set of rules to follow, leaving you no room to second guess your choices, or even worse letting emotion get involved.

Emotion will undermine your long term trading plan. Now I’m not suggesting that you have to have a heart of stone to succeed, but if something doesn’t fit the criteria of the your system’s rules then do not trade

A professional Betfair trader has clear, concise rules that he follows religiously, that is what separates him from the losing traders. If a system has been proven to work long-term stick to it and don’t make any changes. Unless in a rare situation when something in racing changes, which makes a particular rule redundant.

If you get it wrong don’t punish yourself. Learn from it and move on. Stick to your strategy.

Horse acing is a complex sport. You need to invest time initially and at the very least learn the fundamentals in order to gain an edge over 95% of traders. After all if it was that easy every man and his dog would be making a mint from trading.

The main difference between traders who profit regularly from racing and those that don’t is successful traders invest lots of time and energy into learning what works and just as importantly they know what to avoid. There are many strategies and tactics that you can use to profit from trading. The key to success is learning to know which strategies or tactics to employ on which types of races.

Many traders trade badly because they fail to learn from past mistakes and continue to make the same stupid mistakes over and over again. You should always try to improve your performance and keeping good records will help you to do this.

Try to specialise in a particular type of horse racing that you like. I prefer jump racing. There is far too much racing in the UK these days for anyone to follow it in-depth. Knowing more about one type of racing is more productive and profitable than knowing a little about all types of racing.

When I first started trading I didn’t need to bother concerning myself with what type of race I should consider. I simply traded based on support, resistance and price action. Some can still do this today. But it is more of a challenge than it used to be. Most new traders need an edge quickly to survive. Picking the type of race which you perform consistently at is a start. Focus only on factual information that is relevant to your selection process and ignore hype and rumour.

Keeping good records will help you to monitor your performance. You will be able to highlight any problem areas and focus on profitable angles. For example there may be a particular course that you just can’t trade successfully. It could be worth avoiding that course until you can find out why. It may not be your lack of ability. But at least if you keep records it will help you spot bank leaks.

Learning to control the way you think and react to situations that arise in your trading patterns will lead to consistent success. If you stick to a proven plan you won’t start to question your judgment or ability. Have faith in your own opinion.

One of the many reasons why traders lose most of the time is that they don’t have the patience to wait for a suitable race and just jump in irrespective of the realistic chance of trading successfully.

Too much emotion involved in your trading decisions will be your undoing and drastically affect your confidence. This in turn will lead to fear and bad habits creeping back into your trading patterns; such as chopping and changing methods that has been proven to work long-term. You must understand that systems, tactics and strategies need to be monitored over time in order to assess whether they are successful or not.

It’s no good trying a system for a week or two then changing the rules around when you hit a few bad trades. If you do follow this practice it will lead to erratic up and down results and long-term losses. Stick to your strategy.

I have learnt to control my emotions because it’s one of the main ingredients to trading profitably. Once you do so, you will look back at your previous bad trading habits and it will become very clear why you lost most of the time – lack of emotional discipline.

Some times in life it seems like we can’t do anything right no matter how hard we try. Unfortunately that can be a problem in itself, trying too hard can be as bad as not trying at all.

You will have noticed some times information can seem difficult to absorb and your attention starts to wander from the job in hand onto other things. This is a perfectly natural human trait; our brains weren’t designed to solely concentrate on one thing all the time.

When it does happen to you don’t worry, there are many possible reasons to name a few: lack of enthusiasm, tiredness, or even the need to take a break.

Stop if you lack the true concentration needed to focus and make the right choices.

Finally, let’s deal with issues outside your immediate control but for which you MUST have a plan if you are going to survive your first month trading.

Betfair has regular issues and sometimes fails completely. Software crashes. Power cuts happen. Computers fail. Internet connection slows or stops. Betfair’s API severs fail.

If you are fortunate enough to not have experienced all of these challenges then don’t worry because it’s your turn soon. 😉

For everyone else who have already been caught out in the past if you’re still not better prepared in some way then get organised. There’s no excuse.

Simply, have a spare laptop / tablet and a 4g internet dongle or a tethered wi-fi connection from your mobile. Check regularly that they can run from battery power.

Have a funded Betdaq or MatchBook account and be logged into this either via BetTrader or through their website directly on your backup laptop. This way any open positions on Betfair can be quickly closed using Betdaq and MatchBook or vice versa.

Another option is always place an opposing bet immediately after you open each position – tick offset – and use the take SP option. If Betfair then experience problems whilst you’re in the middle of a trade any SP bets already in the market will still be reconciled afterwards so you won’t face the possibility of a total loss of your opening trade.

Finally, have the Betfair app open on your mobile with it plugged in and the screen permanently on. It should ALWAYS have the current race you are trading open. This one tip has saved me thousands. But more than anything else – stick to your strategy. 🙂

JuiceStorm TV

Trading The UK, IE, US And AU Betfair Horse Racing Markets 24/7

The Betfair selections we are trading above are UK time. Only filled trades or bets appear on JuiceStorm TV.

Unsure how to get involved? Take a look here.

In 2021 TradeHost traded 7,937 Betfair UK, IE, US & AU horse racing and greyhound markets.

2022 saw TradeHost become even more profitable with 22,698 Betfair markets traded.

2023 less markets were traded – 17,459 – but a with a similar profit to 2022.

All trades and bets were streamed live on JuiceStorm TV which was was watched by 124,209 traders in 2022.

All results for the 48,094 Betfair markets traded are here and the charts are here.

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  1. Eddie says

    Superb article John. Thanks.

  2. Tanya says

    It looks like a strong finish for TradeHost again this year JP. Thank you so much.

  3. RedRum says

    Happy Christmas John and everyone. Have a great 2021. Made a few bags in the Telegram room this year so thanks.

  4. Barry says

    Hey, happy new year everyone. I like the new live audio chat in the TG room. Good to speak to you again John.

  5. Alan says

    This article is as valid today as the day it was written. I love the video in JuiceStorm Trading BTW. Very funny and a superb bot trade!

  6. Alison says

    3rd year anniversary of live streaming your selections today John. Congratulations and thanks. I’ve done very well on both the trades and gambles. I love the early trades when they are matched.

  7. RedRum says

    Your TG Drifter selections are mustard mate. I have now doubled my bank again in 2021 with over 2 months still to go. Thanks again.

  8. Tanya says

    What can I say John? Yesterday tipped my profit for the year over the £10K mark.

    Olivia Mary at 13 Kitty Galore at 15 Cap Auteuil at 5 and Secret Secret at 4.

    4 big trades too for 15 ticks! Many, many thanks!

  9. Alan says

    Another great year in 2021. Thanks John and all.

  10. Tilly says

    I have been trading via Juice TV and the Telegram room for reminders for well over a year now. Thanks everyone. So consistent and profitable. Your number 1 fan down under.

  11. JackTheHat says

    Another year nearly over. Time flies. As many know I have traded your selections for over 10 years now. Not 1 losing year! Thanks guys and let me be the first to wish you a happy Christmas and a profitable 2022.

  12. Trading says

    Love the overnight video you added on the page today John. I wouldn’t mind waking up to a £100 profit every morning!

  13. ItIsMagic says

    A great start to the year on TradeHost John. I’m in year 4 now since the 2018 seminar. Thanks.

  14. Tanya says

    Thanks for the winners Bigz Belief at 10 and Kajaki at 20 yesterday John. I’m up £300 on the gambles alone in January with tiny stakes.

  15. JackTheHat says

    I love the timelapse video you added on the Today page at

    Who doesn’t want to make a £100 while sleeping? It’s what I have come to expect now.

    I got the same gambles at the same prices as Tanya above too. Year 5 for me now automated.

  16. RedRum says

    A strong start to the year so far. Well done lads.

  17. Adam Hughes says

    I set up TradeHost Lite on the day of release because I was on the waitlist. All working. 2 out of 2 profitable days so far. Looking forward to the full release on 31st March 2022. Thanks mate.

  18. Joseph says

    I smashed it too with TradeHost Lite. 6 tissue trades – 1 loser – and 12 gambles with a 33% strike rate. Over the moon. Matched at 10, evens, 3.7 and 9 on the winners.

    What I find interesting is that I was watching Telegram carefully and when I placed each bet as it was shared on TG they all ended up beating BSP later so every one was value.

  19. Henry says

    Glad everyone is doing well with TradeHost and TradeHost Lite. 3rd year for me on TradeHost.

  20. TheLady says

    So refreshing to just be able to speak to someone on the phone when I have a query. John, you’re so open and honest. Rare in the betting and trading world. I hope to see you in Malta again when I’m back in the summer.

  21. TradeHost - says

    Thanks for the great feedback guys.

  22. Farzad says

    Betfair trading gurus come and go. Tipsters come and go. JuiceStorm does both really well. I have been with you since 2008. Profitable every year. You give out so much free stuff. Well done. Delighted to be a founding member from the first seminar.

  23. Alan says

    A great 6 months on TradeHost in 2022. I’ve been with you since 2008. Thanks guys.

  24. RedRum says

    Smashing September gents. 2022 superb for TradeHost. AU markets amazing!

  25. Eddie says

    5.2 on the Juice tissue for Soft Whisper and got the gamble too in the 16:10. BSP 4.2 got 4.9 Ta.

  26. BetfairTipster says

    Awesome Juice Tissue trading from the selections – 6/6.

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