Sugita vs Ebden 26.06.17

Antalya Open, Antalya Open, Grass Courts, ATP Tour

Latest posts by Tennis Purist (see all)

Today sees the first matches ever played at the Antalya Open, a brand new ATP 250 tournament from on the grass courts of Antalya in Turkey. The tournament has managed to get a few stellar names on its books as well, with the likes of Dominic Thiem, Karen Khachanov, Hyeon Chung and Fernando Verdasco all using this week as further preparation for for Wimbledon. The tournament has been substantially supported by the Lawn Tennis Club, who have helped the organisers to construct the grass court surface so that it practically mirrors that which the players will play on at  Wimbledon. There is also over $439,000 worth of prize money on offer this week. So here’s hoping that it’s a cracking week over in Turkey, and let’s hope that the Antalya Open that will become a regular fixture in the ATP grass court schedule. Today we are going to be previewing a match between two of the less ‘household names’ playing here this week, Japanse world number 66, Yuichi Sugita and Australian world number 271, Matthew Ebden.

Previous Meetings:

These two have met seven times previously, with Ebden leading the head to head 5-2. All of their matches have been on hard courts, with Sugita winning their most recent encounter 7-6 6-3, in September 2016 in Kaohsiung, Taiwan. Both have played a few matches on grass already this season, with Sugita lifting the title in Surbiton earlier this month, beating Jordan Thompson 7-6 7-6 in the Final. The Japanese man then lost in the First Round in Hertogenbosch to Janko Tipsarevic, before losing to Federer in the First Round in Halle last week. Ebden lost in the opening Rounds at both Surbiton and Ilkley, but has won through two Rounds of qualifying to reach the main draw here.

Serving Stats:

Sugita’s recent grass court mean serving stats look like this; he’s won 63% of his service points and held serve 80% of the time.

Ebden’s recent grass court mean serving stats look like this; he’s won 71% of his service points and held serve 88% of the time.

Sugita’s serve is not the biggest, and he relies heavily on a strong first serve % in order to win points consistently on it. Ebden on the other hand has a strong serve, and will certainly be ahead on the ace count by the end today. The Aussie is not broken often on grass, and expect that to be the case again today.

Returning Stats:

Sugita’s recent grass court returning stats look like this, he’s won 40% of his return points, 50% of his break points and opponents have held 70% of the time against him.

Ebden’s recent grass court returning stats look like this, he’s won 39% of his return points, 52% of his break points and opponents have held 75% of the time against him.

Ebden also leads the stats for the return of serve, both players will look to get the ball back into play off the return, with Ebden looking to be the more aggressive with his forehand return off the second serve. Sugita will need to take any chance(s) he gets today, so will need his break point conversion % to be well over 60-70% in order to make Ebden’s life difficult on serve.


Both player’s will look to predominantly play from the baseline, Sugita will look to manoeuvre his opponent around the court before counter-punching into the space created. Ebden can use the slice on his backhand to good effect on the grass, and will use his forehand aggressively at any given opportunity. The Aussie will venture to the net on the odd occasion, and is an assured volleyer when there. Sugita is the better defender of the two players, and i imagine he he will find himself doing this a lot today.


Despite the bookies making Sugita the favourite, all the stats point to an Ebden win. The Aussie has also played two qualifying matches here already, and leads the head to head convincingly. I feel like Ebden’s big serve and forehand could well make the difference today, unless Sugita can serve 75%+ first serves, and find a way to return the Aussie’s first serve with consistency.

JuiceStorm TV

Trading The UK, IE, US And AU Betfair Horse Racing Markets 24/7

The Betfair selections we are trading above are UK time. Only filled trades or bets appear on JuiceStorm TV.

Unsure how to get involved? Take a look here.

In 2021 TradeHost traded 7,937 Betfair UK, IE, US & AU horse racing and greyhound markets.

2022 saw TradeHost become even more profitable with 22,698 Betfair markets traded.

2023 less markets were traded – 17,459 – but a with a similar profit to 2022.

All trades and bets were streamed live on JuiceStorm TV which was was watched by 124,209 traders in 2022.

All results for the 48,094 Betfair markets traded are here and the charts are here.

Top 100 Comments on

Racing Traders has over 20,000 registered members and more join every day. Find out why with a free trial.

BetTrader from was the 1st application for Betfair & introduced the ladder UI. Invest £99 in yourself with a JuiceStorm EXCLUSIVE crypto only offer for a BetTrader lifetime license and no further payments.

Successful Betfair Traders have the simplest Betfair Trading systems. The difference is their selection process, experience and execution level. Get that difference for yourself with automated trading by TradeHost.

Our AI articles are NOT written by a real person and are provided for entertainment only. They may contain content which is inaccurate but we are hoping our AI bot, Rose, will become better over time. The AI category is the ONLY section of that has zero human input.

Leave A Reply
Comment Rules

  • Please show respect to the opinions of others no matter how seemingly far-fetched.
  • Abusive, foul language, and/or divisive comments may be deleted without notice.
  • Each JuiceStorm member is allowed two daily comments. Use them wisely.
  • Comments must be limited to the number of words displayed above the comment box.
  • Use branded capitalisation, eg. JuiceStorm, TradeHost, BetTrader, etc or John will get upset.
  • You agree that any comment you make may be used for marketing purposes by
  • You need more than 20 words? Click here for the largest Telegram community for Betfair Traders.