York Ebor Festival Trends & Tips: Weds 17th August 2022

2022 York Ebor Festival Tips and Trends

The horse racing action steps up a few gears again on Wednesday 17th August as the four-day Ebor Festival from York gets going. Bundles to look forward to with 10 Group races spread over the meeting that include the Juddmonte Stakes, Nunthorpe Stakes and the Yorkshire Oaks, while the meeting is always concluded with the Ebor Handicap on the final day – the most valuable flat handicap in Europe!

We get going on Day One with four LIVE ITV races, including the Group Three Acomb Stakes, where 17 of the last 19 winners won last time out, while we’ve also the Great Voltigeur – a decent St Leger Trial – but the opening day’s feature is the Group One Juddmonte International Stakes – a race that is worth just over £560k to the winner!

As always, we’ll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

DAY ONE – Wednesday 17th August 2022

 

York Horse Racing Trends

 

1.50 – Sky Bet Symphony Group Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 5f89y ITV

13/13 – Carried 8-12 or more
12/13 – Returned 7/1 or bigger in the betting
11/13 – Had won 5 or more times during their career
10/13 – Had run 6 or more times that season
10/13 – Had run at York before (6 won)
7/13 – Unplaced last time out
7/13 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/13 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/13 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
1/13 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 12 winners came from stall 15
6 of the last 12 winners came from a single-figure stall
Copper Knight (18/1) won the race in 2021
Acclaim The Nation (18/1) won the race in 2020
Dakota Gold (4/1 fav) won the race in 2019
El Astronaute (12/1) won the race in 2018

JUICESTORM BEST BET: ZARZYNI (e/w)
JUICESTORM DANGER: LIVE THE DREAM (e/w)

 

2.25 – Tattersalls Acomb Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f ITV

18/19 – Had won at least once before
17/19 – Won their previous race
15/19 – Had won over 7f or further before
13/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Ran at either York (4) or Newmarket (4) last time out
6/19 – Winning favourites
5/19 – Had run at York before
4/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/19 – Ridden by James Doyle
2/19 – Trained by William Haggas
2/19 – Trained by Charles Hills
2/19 – Winners from stall 1
9 of the last 13 winners were foaled in March or later
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 5-9 (inc)

JUICESTORM BEST BET: LOCAL DYNASTY
JUICESTORM DANGER: INDESTRUCTIBLE (e/w)

 

3.00 – Sky Bet Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m4f ITV

18/20 – Had 2 or more previous runs that season
17/20 – Had won at least twice already in their career
16/20 – Placed favourites
16/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
15/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Trained/Owned by Sir Michael Stoute (3), Godolphin (4) or John Gosden (5)
8/20 – Winning favourites
7/20 – Went onto be placed in the St Leger
3/20 – Went onto win the St Leger (Logician, Lucarno, Rule of Law)
4/20 –  Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/20 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 4)
0/20 – Winners from stall 1
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 3 times before (2001, 2003 & 2016)
Trainer John Gosden has won the race 5 times before (2007, 2008, 2012, 2017 & 2019)
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has won this race 7 times before (1982, 1994, 1999, 2000, 2005, 2011 & 2013)
14 horses have won this before going onto win the St Leger (Sept 10th)
Godolphin have won the race 6 times

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Goodwood

JUICESTORM BEST BET: SECRET STATE
JUICESTORM DANGER: DEAUVILLE LEGEND 

 

3.35 – Juddmonte International Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV

18/20 – Previous Group 1 winners
18/20 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
17/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Had won over 1m2f (or further) before
16/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/20 – Had not run at York before
14/20 – Aged 4 or older
13/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/20 – Had won 5 or more times before
11/20 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
11/20 – Ran at either Ascot (6) or Sandown (5) last time out
10/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/20 – Won the Epsom Derby that season
2/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 winners in total)
6 of the last 14 winners were Irish-trained
Mishriff (9/4 fav) won the race in 2021

Note: The 2008 renewal was run at Newmarket

JUICESTORM BEST BET: BAAEED
JUICESTORM DANGER: MISHRIFF

4.10 Sky Bet Stayers Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 2m 1/2f ITV

12/12 – Had run in the last 2 months
10/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Won between 1-5 times before
9/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
8/12 – Came from stall 7 or higher
8/12 – Rated between 87-96
8/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
7/12 – Had run at the course before
7/12 – Drawn from stalls 8-13 (inc)
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
4/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Irish-trained winners
2/12 – Trained by Ralph Beckett

JUICESTORM BEST BET: SOAPY STEVENS
JUICESTORM DANGER: THUNDEROUS (e/w)

 

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