York Ebor Festival Trends & Tips: Sat 20th August 2022

York Ebor Racing Tips and Trends

The York Ebor Festival concludes on Saturday 20th August 2022, as the four-day meeting heads into it’s final day.

Four more LIVE ITV races to take in, including the Group Three Strensall Stakes but the final day is always spearheaded by the Ebor Handicap – Europe’s most valuable handicap – Did you know, 17 of the last 20 Ebor Handicap winners carried 9-5 or less in weight, while 16 of the last 20 winners came from a double-figure stall?

As always, we’ll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

York Horse Racing Trends
DAY FOUR – Saturday 20th August 2022

 

1.50 – Sky Bet And Symphony Strensall Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m208y ITV

19/19 – Had won over at least a mile before
19/19 – Had won at least twice in the their career
18/19 – Had between 2 and 4 runs already that season
16/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/19 – Had won over a mile before
8/19 – Won by Godolphin
8/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/19 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
4/19 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/19 – Had won at York before
3/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (2 of last 4)
3/19 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 8)
2/19 – Trained by Charlie Appleby

Note: The 2009 running was a dead-heat

JUICESTORM VERDICT: MIGHTY ULYSSES
JUICESTORM DANGER: CADILLAC

 

2.25 – Sky Bet Melrose Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

17/19 – Never raced at York before
16/19 – Had 4 or more runs that season
15/19 – Had a top 5 finish last time out
14/19 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
14/19 – Won carrying 9-0 or less
14/19 – Had won over 1m4f or further
12/19 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
4/19 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/19 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/19 – Trained by William Haggas
2/19 – Ridden by William Buick
2/19 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of last 4)
2/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding (Last 2)

JUICESTORM VERDICT: WILD CRUSADE
JUICESTORM DANGER: SOUL STOPPER

3.00 – Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV

18/19 – Failed to win last time out
17/19 – Aged 5 or younger
16/19 – Priced 7/1 or shorter
14/19 – Drawn in stalls 4 to 8 (inc)
14/19 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
13/19 – Never run at York before
12/19 – Winning distance 1 length or less
11/19 – Had 4 or more runs that season
8/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/19 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/19 – Won by trainer Andrew Balding
2/19 – Placed horses from stall 1

JUICESTORM VERDICT: KINCROSS
JUICESTORM DANGER: ROHAAN

3.35 – Sky Bet Ebor (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m6f ITV

19/20 – Aged 6 or younger
17/20 – Carried 9-5 or less
17/20 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
16/20 – Won from a double-figure stall
14/20 – Winning Distance – 1 length or less
13/20 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
12/20 – Carried 9-1 or less
12/20 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
12/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Had run at York before
6/20 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/20 – Won last time out
6/20 – Irish-trained winners (6 of the last 13)
4/20 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
3/20 – Ran at Galway last time out
2/20 – Trained by Johnny Murtagh (2 of last 8)
2/20 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/20 – Placed horses from stall 1 (third 2011, third 2013)
2/20 – Winning favourites
Just two winning favourites since 1999
Since 1980 only one winner aged 7 or older
6 of the last 8 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1980, 1991 & 1996
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 19/1

JUICESTORM VERDICT: GAASSEE
JUICESTORM DANGER: LICENCE

 

4.10 – Sky Bet Constantine Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+) 6f ITV

No previous runnings
Trainer Simon Crisford has a 31% record with their 4+ year-olds at the track
Trainer Kevin Ryan is only 4-from-90 (4%) with their 4+ year-olds at the track

JUICESTORM VERDICT: REGIONAL
JUICESTORM DANGER: MUMS TIPPLE

 

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