York Ebor Festival Trends & Tips: Fri 19th August 2022

York Ebor horse racing tips and trends

The York Ebor Festival continues on Friday 19th August 2022, as the four-day meeting heads into it’s third day.

Four more LIVE ITV races to take in, including the Group Two Lonsdale Cup, but day three is all about the Group One Nunthorpe Stakes as we get a chance to see some of the best sprinters on the planet doing battle again – Did you know 18 of the last 20 Nunthorpe winners came from stall 11 or lower, plus also finished in the top 5 last time out?

As always, we’ll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners.

Enjoy!

 

DAY THREE – Friday 19th August 2022

 

1.50 – Sky Bet Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f ITV

18/19 – Aged 5 or younger
18/19 – Had won over at least 1m2f before (7 over 1m4f)
16/19 – Had 3 or more runs already that season
17/19 – Had won at least twice on the flat before
15/19 – Carried 9-5 or less in weight
13/19 – Won from stall 8 or higher
14/19 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/19 – Ran at either Goodwood (5) or Newmarket (4) last time out
5/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (3) or Mark Johnston (2)
3/19 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
Sam Cooke (14/1) won the race in 2021

JUICESTORM VERDICT: MAHRAJAAN
JUICESTORM DANGER: ONESMOOTHOPERATOR

2.25 – Weatherbys Hamilton Lonsdale Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Cl1 2m88y ITV

16/18 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
16/18 – Had 4 or more career wins
15/18 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
14/18 – Favourites placed
14/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
13/18 – Didn’t win last time out
13/18 – Raced 3 or more times that season
13/18 – Won a Listed or better class race before
11/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/18 – Had run at York before (9 won)
6/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/18 – Winners from stall 1
Stradivarius (4/11) won the race in 2021, 2018 and 2019

JUICESTORM VERDICT: STRADIVARIUS
JUICESTORM DANGER: TRUESHAN

3.00 – Al Basti Equiworld Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 6f ITV

18/19 – Won just 1-2 times before
18/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
16/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/19 – Won just once before
13/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/19 – Foaled in March or later
12/19 – Had won over 6f before
4/19 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
4/19 – Winning favourites
3/19 – Trained by William Haggas
2/19 – Trained by Richard Hannon (2 of the last 3)

JUICESTORM VERDICT: MARSHMAN
JUICESTORM DANGER: NOBLE STYLE

3.35 – Coolmore Wootton Bassett Nunthorpe Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 5f ITV

18/20 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
18/20 – Had won over 5f before
18/20 – Came from stall 11 or lower
17/20 – Had an official rating of 108 or more
16/20 – Had run at the course before
15/20 – Favourites to finish in the top 4
14/20 – Were previous Group race winners
9/20 – Ran at Goodwood last time out (inc 8 of last 12)
5/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Won by the Hills yard (Charles/Barry)
3/20 – Placed horses from stall 1 (3rd in 2003 & 2012)
2/20 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/20 – Trained by Michael Dods
9 of the last 13 winner drawn 7 or higher
7 of the last 11 winners were fillies/mares
9 of the last 10 winners were aged between 4-7 years-old
Winter Power (9/1) won the race in 2021

JUICESTORM VERDICT: ROYAL ACLAIM
JUICESTORM DANGER: HIGHFIELD PRINCESS

4.10 – Assured Data Protection EBF Fillies’ Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m 21/2f

Only 2 previous runnings
The Flying Ginger won the race in 2021
Trainers Roger Fell and Roger Varian have won the race before
Both recent winners aged 3 years-old
Both recent winners carried between 8-12 and 9-0
Trainer William Haggas has a 21% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

JUICESTORM VERDICT: SHAMPION
JUICESTORM DANGER: STATE OCCASION

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