Newmarket July Meeting Trends & Tips – DAY THREE (Sat 9th July 2022)

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Andy

The Horse Racing category publishes select GB and IE reviews around 10 minutes before races we feel merit your interest.

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Latest posts by Andy (see all)

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Here at JuiceStorm we take you through the LIVE ITV races on the third and final day of the 2022 Newmarket July Meeting this Saturday (9^th July).

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

2.05 – Bedford Lodge Hotel & Spa Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f ITV

13/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
12/13 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
10/13  – Had won over at least 7f before
9/13 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
9/13 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
8/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Drawn in stalls 10, 11 or 13 (2 each)
4/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/13 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/13 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/13 – Winning favourites

JUICESTORM BEST BET: GOLDEN SPICE
JUICESTORM DANGER:  MISS CAROL ANN

2.40 – bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

18/20 – Had won over 7f or further previously
16/20 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/20 – Had 2 or more runs that season
11/20 – Unplaced in their last race
9/20 – Favourites unplaced
9/20 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
5/20 – Won their last race
4/20 – Winning Favourites
2/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/20 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 4)
The Richard Hannon yard have won 3 of the last 9 runnings

JUICESTORM BEST BET: BAY OF HONOUR
JUICESTORM DANGER:  LAASUDOOD

3.15 – Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

19/20 – Won over at least 6f previously
18/20 – Placed in their last race
17/20 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
15/20 – Won their latest race
13/20 – Won by either a March or April foal
12/20 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
10/20 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
9/20 – Favourites unplaced
6/20 – Winning Favourites
4/20 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/20 – Winners from stall 3
5/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 8 runnings)
2/20 – Trained by Mick Channon
3/20 – Ridden by William Buick
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 4 of the last 6 runnings

JUICESTORM BEST BET: LION OF WAR
JUICESTORM DANGER: VICTORY DANCE

3.50 – bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

19/20 – Won over 7f previously
18/20 – Raced 3 or more times that season
14/20 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
13/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/20 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
11/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/20 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
10/20 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
10/20 – Placed in their last race
9/20 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1^st, 2^nd and 3^rd
4/20 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
4/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
8 of the last 11 winners came from double-figure draws
Motakhayyel won the race in 2020 and 2021

JUICESTORM BEST BET: STAR OF ORION
JUICESTORM DANGER: ROPEY GUEST

4.25 – Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners…..

2021     Starman (9/2)
2020     Oxted (12/1)
2019     Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

19/20 – Aged 5 or younger
18/20 – Had won over 6f before
17/20 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
15/20 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
15/20 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
15/20 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
12/20 – Placed last time out
9/20 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/20 – Unplaced favourites
8/20 – Won their previous race
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained 2 of the last 4 winners)
2/20 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/20 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019)

JUICESTORM BEST BET: PERFECT POWER
JUICESTORM DANGER: CADAMOSTO