Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Saturday 23rd July 2022

ITV Horse Racing Tips and Trends

It’s King George Day at Ascot this Saturday as some of the best middle-distance horses in the world line-up for this lucrative Group One. We’ve four LIVE ITV races to take in at the Berkshire track, while there’s also three races at York that are headlined by the Group Two Sky Bet York Stakes.

As always, here at JUICESTORM, we’ve got all the key trends for LIVE ITV Races this Saturday (23rd July 2022) – use these stats to find the best profiles of past winners and narrow down the runners.

 

Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

1:50 – Princess Margaret Keenland Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 (2yo) 6f ITV

16/19 – Had won just once before
16/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/19 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
15/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/19 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
14/19 – Won over 6f before
12/19 – Foaled in either Feb or March
9/19 – Winning favourite
9/19 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/19 – Won last time out
5/19 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/19 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/19 – Won by the Hannon yard
9 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
10 of the last 16 winners were Irish bred
9 of the last 16 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 10 winners came from stall 1
Zain Claudette (15/2) won the race in 2021

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

JUICESTORM BEST BET: LEZOO
JUICESTORM DANGER: ROYAL CHARTER

2.25 – Longines Valiant Stakes (Group 3) (Filles and Mares) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m ITV

10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/10 – Won over at least 7f before
10/10 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
9/10 – Won 2 or 3 times in the past
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Came from stalls 3-8 (inc)
5/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Had run at Ascot before
2/10 – Winning favourites
Dreamloper (13/2) won the race in 2021

JUICESTORM BEST BET: ZANBAQ
JUICESTORM DANGER: NOVEMBA

 

3.00 – Moet & Chandon International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 7f ITV

19/19 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
19/19 – Had raced at Ascot previously
17/19 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
15/19 – Won over 7f previously
15/19 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
14/19 – Won between 2-4 times previously
13/19 – Favourites unplaced
12/19 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
11/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
11/19 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
7/19 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
7/19 – Raced at Ascot last time out
5/19 – Won their last race
3/19 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/19 – Winning favourites
2/19 – Trained by Clive Cox
Trainer Richard Fahey has won the race three times in the last 12 years
13 of the last 15 winners ran at Ascot, Newmarket or Haydock last time out
11 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall
10 of the last 15 winners finished in the top 5 last time out
Danyah (9/2 fav) won the race in 2021
Blue Mist (9/2 fav) won the race in 2020
Raising Sand (7/1) won the race in 2019

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

JUICESTORM BEST BET: CHIEFOFCHIEFS (e/w)
JUICESTORM DANGER: AIR TO AIR (e/w)

 

3:35 – King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Qipco Stakes (Group 1) (British Champion Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m4f ITV

20/20 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
18/20 – Had won over 1m4f before
17/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
17/20 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
17/20 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Placed last time out
16/20 – Previous Group 1 winner
12/20 – Aged 4 years-old
12/20 – Had run Ascot before
12/20 – Won their previous race
10/20 – Favourites that won
8/20 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
8/20 – Won at Ascot before
5/20 – Trained by John Gosden
4/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
Frankie Dettori has ridden the winner in 1995, 1998, 1999, 2004, 2017, 2019 and 2020
2 of the last 8 winners were that season’s Epsom Oaks winner
Adayar (2021) and Galileo (2001) were the last horses to do the Derby/King George double in the same season
Trainer John Gosden won the race in 2011, 2014, 2017, 2019 & 2020
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009, 2010 & 2018
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
Trainer Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2001, 2007, 2008 & 2016
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 3/1

JUICESTORM BEST BET: WESTOVER
JUICESTORM DANGER: EMILY UPJOHN

 

York Horse Racing Trends

 

2.05 – Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe’ Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys) Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 5f ITV

Just 4 previous runnings
3/4 – Aged between 5-7 (inc)
3/4 – Carried between 10-8 and 11-1 in weight
2/4 – Won by trainer Paul Midgley
1/4 – Winning favourite
Soul Seeker (11/2) won the race last year

JUICESTORM BEST BET: STONE CIRCLE
JUICESTORM DANGER: SOUL SEEKER (e/w)

 

2.40 – Sky Bet Dash Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 6f ITV

18/18 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
16/18 – Had won between 2-6 times before
16/18 – Carried 8-12 or more
15/18 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Aged 5 or younger
13/18 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
12/18 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
12/18 – Had run at York before
11/18 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
6/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/18 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/18 – Won last time out
11 of the last 16 winners carried 9-0 or more
Venturous (33/1) won the race in 2021
Muscika (10/1) won the race in 2020
Dakota Gold (10/1) won the race in 2019
Flying Pursuit won the race in 2017 and 2018

JUICESTORM BEST BET: HYPERFOCUS (e/w)
JUICESTORM DANGER: MONDAMMEJ (e/w)

 

3.15 – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (3yo+) 1m2½f ITV

15/16 – Aged 6 or younger
14/16 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
14/16 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/16 – Had won over 1m2f before
13/16 – Had won at least 4 times before
12/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
11/16 – Rated between 110 and 117
10/16 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
9/16 – Had run at York before
8/16 – Ran at Sandown last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
3/16 – Aged 6 years-old
2/16 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Bangkok (14/1) won the race in 2021
Aspetar (11/1) won the race in 2020
Elarqam (7/1) won the race in 2019

JUICESTORM BEST BET: CLAYMORE
JUICESTORM DANGER: DUBAI HONOUR

 

 

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