Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Saturday 13th August 2022

Newbury, Ripon and Newmarket

We’ve got all the trends & stats you need ahead of the LIVE ITV action from Ripon, Newbury and Newmarket this Saturday.

Up at Ripon, it’s one of their biggest days with the competitive William Hill-sponsored Great St Wilfrid Handicap – a race that 13 of the last 18 winners were aged between 4-6 years-old.

Then at Newbury the Group Two Hungerford Stakes is one of their features – a contest that’s seen 11 of the last 12 winners were all draw 6 or lower.

Finally, the ITV cameras are also at Newmarket to take in two decent handicaps.

We’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered with key trends – use these to find the best profiles based on recent winners of each race.

NEWMARKET Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)


2.10 – Discover Newmarket Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo+ 0-105) 1m6f ITV4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
5/6 – Drawn stalls 3 or lower
5/6 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Horse from stall 2 placed in the top 3
5/6 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
4/6 – Placed in the top three last time out
4/6 – Rated between 83-88 (inc)
4/6 – Favourites placed 1st or 2nd
4/6 – Irish bred
4/6 – Had run at Newmarket before
3/6 – Won by a jockey claiming an allowance
3/6 – Carried 8-8 or less in weight
2/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 – Ran at Newbury last time out
Trainer Mark Johnston won the race in 2019

JUICESTORM BEST BET: ATLANTIS
JUICESTORM DANGER: AUSTRALIAN ANGEL

 

3.18 – Grey Horse Handicap (for Grey Horses Only) Cl4 6f ITV

18/19 – Didn’t win last time out
16/19 – Had won over 6f before
16/19 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
15/19 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
14/19 – Aged 5 or older
14/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/19 – Had 3 or more career wins
13/19 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
12/19 – Carried 9-1 or less
9/19 – Unplaced favourites
2/19 – Winning favouritess

JUICESTORM BEST BET: MISTER BLUEBIRD
JUICESTORM DANGER: VERREAUX EAGLE (e/w)

NEWBURY Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

1.55 – Denford Stakes (Registered as The Washington Singer Stakes) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f ITV4

17/20 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
17/20 – Finished in the first three last time out
17/20 – Had won a race before
16/20 – Had won over 6 or 7f before
14/20 – Won by a Feb or March foal
14/20 – Placed favourites
12/20 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
11/20 – Won last time out
11/20 – Horses from stall 3 placed
11/20 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
8/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/20 – Ran at Goodwood (2) or Sandown (2) last time out
4/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
4/20 – Won on their racecourse debut
4/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston
3/20 – Trained by John Gosden
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore

JUICESTORM BEST BET: VICTORY DANCE
JUICESTORM DANGER: FERRARI QUEEN

 

2.30 – BetVictor Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m5f61y ITV4

20/20 – Had won at least twice in their career
18/20 – Had won over 1m4f or further before
16/20 – Aged 3-5 years-old
15/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/20 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Drawn in stall 3 or higher
14/20 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ lengths or more
13/20 – Officially rated 110 or higher
11/20 – Ran at Goodwood or Newmarket last time out
11/20 – Winning favourites
9/20 – Had already won a Group race
8/20 – Had won at Newbury before
Hukum won the race in 2020 and 2021

JUICESTORM BEST BET: ZECHARIAH
JUICESTORM DANGER: AWAY HE GOES

3.00 – BetVictor Handicap Cl3 (3yo+ 0-95) 7f ITV4

11/11 – Aged between 3-6 (inc)
10/11 – Carried 9-1 or more in weight
10/11 – Won between 2-4 times before
9/11 – Had won over 7f or further before
8/11 – Rated between 90-96 (inc)
8/11 – Finished 5th or better last time out
7/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/11 – Carried between 9-1 and 9-7
7/11 – Had raced at Newbury before
6/11 – Irish bred
3/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/11 – Ridden by Adam Kirby
2/11 – Trained by William Haggas
2/11 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Won last time out
The last 3 winners came from stall 6

JUICESTORM BEST BET: GISBURN
JUICESTORM DANGER: DANCE FEVER (e/w)

 

3.35 – BetVictor Hungerford Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV4 

18/20 – Didn’t win last time out
18/20 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
17/20 – Had won over this 7f trip before
17/20 – Officially rated 108 or more
16/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
15/20 – Had won 3 or more times already in their career
14/20 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
10/20 – Had run at Newbury before (4 won)
8/20 – Ran at Goodwood last time out
2/20 – Trained by William Haggas (2 of the last 7)
12 of the last 13 winners were all draw 6 or lower
Just one winner from stall 1 in the last 13 runnings

JUICESTORM BEST BET: CHINDIT (e/w)
JUICESTORM DANGER: TIBER FLOW

RIPON Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

2.50 – William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 6f ITV4

17/20 – Previous winners over 6f
15/20 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
15/20 – Didn’t win last time out
14/20 – Carried 8-12 or more
13/20 – Winning distance of 1 length or less
13/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/20 – Finished unplaced last time out
11/20  – Had run at Ripon before (4 won)
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Had 5 or more previous runs already that season
8/20 – Ran at either Goodwood (5) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/20 – Aged 4 years-old
6/20 – Winning favourites (5 in the last 9)
3/20 – Trained by David O’Meara (3 of last 11)
3/20 – Ridden by Daniel Tudhope
2/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 9)
2/20 – Trained by Tim Easterby (2 of the last 5)
1/20 – Aged 3 years-old
Justanotherbottle won the race in 2021
No winner from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
8 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
Only 7 winning favourites since 1990
Since 1986 ALL bar one winner returned 20/1 or less

JUICESTORM BEST BET: JUSTANOTHERBOTTLE (e/w)
JUICESTORM DANGER: AL SIMMO (e/w)

 

 

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