Doncaster TV Trends and Tips: Sunday 11th Sept 2022

Doncaster Horse Racing Tips and Trends

The ITV cameras head to Doncaster racecourse this month (7th-11th Sept) for the 4-day St Leger Meeting – they will be covering races on Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with races spread across both ITV and ITV4.

As always, here at JUICESTORM we’ve got it all covered with all the TV race trends and stats – these should help narrow down the fields and also highlight the best profiles of horses that have done well in the races in the past.

It’s St Leger Day at the track this Sunday – the final English Classic of the season. Did you know, 12 of the last 20 St Leger winners were drawn in stalls 5 or higher?

 

Sunday 11th September 2022

12.30 Coral Champagne Stakes Group 2, 7f ITV

  • Key Trends
  • 20/21 – Returned  8/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 19/21 – Won 1 or 2 times previously
  • 18/21 – Favourites placed
  • 17/21 – Had won over 7f before
  • 17/21 – Finished third or better last time out
  • 16/21 – Won by a Feb or March foal
  • 13/21 – Won last time out
  • 12/21 – Run at Sandown, Newbury, York or t­­he Curragh last time out
  • 9/21 – Raced 3 or more times that season
  • 9/21 – Winning favourites
  • 4/21 – Won by Godolphin
  • 4/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
  • 2/21 – Won by the Charlie Appleby yard
  • 2/21 – Winners from stall 1

JUICESTORM VERDICT: SILVER KNOTT
JUICESTORM DANGER: CHALDEAN

1:00 – Cazoo Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 6½f

  • Key Trends
  • 12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
  • 12/12 – Ran in the last 8 weeks
  • 11/12 – Aged 5 or younger
  • 11/12 – Won over 6f and 7f
  • 11/12 – Won between 2-4 times
  • 11/12 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 10/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
  • 10/12 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
  • 10/12 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
  • 9/12 – Finished in the top 6 last time out
  • 9/12 – Drawn in stalls 7 or lower
  • 8/12 – Carried between 8-10 and 8-13 in weight
  • 7/12 – Had run at Doncaster before
  • 7/12 – Irish bred
  • 1/12 – Winning favourites
  • 0/12 – Winners from stall 1

JUICESTORM VERDICT: MUMS TIPPLE
JUICESTORM DANGER: FOOLS RUSH IN

1:35 – Wainwright Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (2yo) 5f ITV

  • Key Trends
  • 17/18 – Had raced in the last 4 weeks
  • 15/18 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
  • 14/18 – Placed horses from stall 2 or 3
  • 14/18 – Had won at Listed or Group class before
  • 13/18 – Won 1-2 times before
  • 12/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 9/18 – Placed favourites
  • 7/18 – Winning favourites
  • 7/18 – Ran at York last time
  • 6/18 – Foaled in April
  • 5/18 – Trained by the Richard Hannon yard
  • 5/18 – Won last time out
  • 1/18 – Irish-trained winners
  • 1/18 – Winners from stall 1

JUICESTORM VERDICT: THE PLATINUM QUEEN
JUICESTORM DANGER: TRILLIUM

2:10 – Coral Portland Handicap 5½f

  • Key Trends
  • 19/20 – Carried 8-12 or more
  • 17/20 – Had run 5 or more times that season
  • 16/20 – Came from a double-figure stall
  • 16/20 – Won over 6f before
  • 15/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
  • 14/20 – Winner rated between 95 and 102
  • 13/20 – Run at Doncaster previously
  • 13/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
  • 12/20 – Won 4 or more times in their career
  • 10/20 – Unplaced Favourites
  • 10/20 – Placed in their last race
  • 9/20 – Winners aged 5 years-old (inc 9 of last 14 years)
  • 7/20 – Raced in that season’s Great St Wilfrid (Ripon)
  • 5/20 – Winning favourites
  • 4/20 – Raced at Ripon last time out
  • 3/20 – Won by the Kevin Ryan yard
  • 3/20 – Won last time out
  • 10 of the last 11 winners were aged 5 or younger

    JUICESTORM VERDICT: WHENTHEDEALISDONE
    JUICESTORM DANGER: CHIPSTEAD

2:45 – Coral Doncaster Cup Stakes (Group 2) (British Champions Series) Cl1 (3yo+) 2m2f ITV4

 

  • Key Trends
  • 19/21 – Had won over 1m6f or further before
  • 19/21 – Had 2 or more runs that season
  • 18/21 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
  • 16/21 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
  • 15/21 – Had run at Doncaster before (6 won)
  • 15/21 – Placed last time out
  • 14/21 – Had won 5 or more times before
  • 13/21 – Aged 6 or younger
  • 13/21 – Previous Group race winners
  • 13/21 – Winning distance 1 or more lengths
  • 12/21 – Ran at York last time out
  • 10/21 – Winning favourites
  • 9/21 – Won last time out
  • 8/21 – Unplaced favourites
  • 4/21 – Trained in Ireland

JUICESTORM VERDICT: TRUSHAN
JUICESTORM DANGER: GET SHIRTY

3.20 Cazoo Park Stakes Group 2, 7f

  • Key Trends
  • 16/19 – Won 3 or more times before
  • 15/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
  • 16/19 – Run 3 or more times that season
  • 16/19 – Won a Group race previously
  • 16/19 – Returned  7/1 or shorter
  • 15/19 – Won over 7f before
  • 14/19 – Aged 4 or older
  • 13/19 – Placed favourites
  • 12/19 – Unplaced in their most recent race
  • 10/19 – Run at either Goodwood (5), Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
  • 9/19 – Placed horses from stall 1
  • 8/19 – Had run at Doncaster before
  • 5/19 – Winning favourites
  • 2/19 – Won by a previous winner of the race
  • 4 Irish-trained winners in the last 13 runnings

JUICESTORM VERDICT: KINROSS
JUICESTORM DANGER: GARRUS

3.55 Cazoo St Leger Stakes Group 1, 1m6½f

  • Key Trends
  • 18/20 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
  • 17/20 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
  • 17/20 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
  • 16/20 – Placed favourites
  • 16/20 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
  • 15/20 – Had won a Group race before
  • 15/20 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
  • 14/20 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
  • 13/20 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
  • 12/20 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
  • 12/20 – Won last time out
  • 11/20 – Officially rated 109 to 115
  • 9/20 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
  • 8/20 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (3 won it)
  • 5/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
  • 4/20 – Trained by John Gosden
  • 4/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in total)
  • 4/20 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (7 wins in total)
  • 3/20 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (2 won it)
  • 3/20 – Ridden by William Buick
  • 2/20 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
  • 2/20 – Winners from stall 1
  • Godolphin have won the race 7 times
  • Aidan O’Brien has trained 6 winners of the race
  • The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 13/2

JUICESTORM VERDICT: NEW LONDON
JUICESTORM DANGER: HOO YA MAL

 

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