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Staged at The Curragh racecourse the Irish 2,000 Guineas is a Group One class race for 3 year-olds only. Run over 1m the contest normally takes place each year in May and was first run in 1921.
Horses that contested the English 2,000 Guineas often go onto run in this race, while winners of the Irish 2,000 Guineas tend to take in the St James’s Palace Stakes, at Royal Ascot.
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won four of the last 10 runnings, while in total, O’Brien has won the race a staggering 11 times.
We take a look back at past winners, plus have all the key trends ahead of the 2022 Irish 2,000 Guineas – this year run on Saturday 21st May 2021 – did you know that 17 of the last 19 winners had raced in the last 3 weeks, while 14 of the last 19 ran at Newmarket last time out?
Recent Irish 2,000 Guineas Winners
2021 – MAC SWINEY (8/1)
2020 – SISKIN (2/1 fav)
2019 – PHOENIX OF SPAIN (16/1)
2018 – ROMANISED (25/1)
2017 – CHURCHILL (4/9 fav)
2016 – AWTAAD (9/2)
2015 – GLENEAGLES (2/5 fav)
2014 – KINGMAN (4/5 fav)
2013 – MAGICIAN (10/3)
2012 – POWER (5/1)
2011 – RODERIC O’CONNOR (7/2)
2010 – CANFORD CLIFFS (9/4 fav)
2009 – MASTERCRAFTSMAN (6/4 fav)
2008 – HENRYTHENAVIGATOR (5/4)
2007 – COCKNEY REBEL (6/4 fav)
2006 – ARAAFA (12/1)
2005 – DUBAWI (7/4 jfav)
2004 – BACHELOR (12/1)
2003 – INDIAN HAVEN (8/1)
2002 – ROCK OF GIBRALTAR (4/7 fav)
Irish 2000 Guineas Betting Trends and Stats
18/20 – Had run within the last 3 weeks
16/20 – Had won over either 7f or 1m before
16/20 – Had won between 1-4 times before
15/20 – Favourites that finished in the top two
14/20 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
14/20 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/20 – Irish bred
14/20 – Drawn in stall 4 or lower
13/20 – Had run at the Curragh before
12/20 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
10/20 – Had won a Group 1 race before
9/20 – Winning favourites
9/20 – Unplaced last time out
8/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (11 wins in total)
8/20 – Trained by a UK-based stable
8/20 – Won last time out
5/20 – Won the 2,000 Guineas (Newmarket) that season
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 11/2
Rock of Gibraltar (2002), Cockney Rebel (2007), Henrythenavigator (2008), Gleneagles (2015) & Churchill (2017) all did the English/Irish 2,000 Guineas double
JUICESTORM VERDICT: It really is impossible to not see the Godolphin-owned NATIVE TRAIL winning here. This 3 year-old Oasis Dream colt brings the best form to the table after a 3/4 of a length second in the English 2000 Guineas last month.
Slightly surprising is that the ‘boys in blue’ of Godolphin last landed the Irish 2000 Guineas back in 2005 with Dubawi – therefore, will be looking to end a 16 year winless run. While before that success they their only other victory came in 2000 (Bachir).
Prior to his second in the English 2000 Guineas, this Charlie Appleby-trained colt had won all five outings, including the Group One Dewhurst and National Stakes last season and with the last of those mentioned wins coming here at The Curragh racecourse, then we even though his track form is okay too. It really is difficult to find any negative to take him on with.
Best Of The Others
With a monster 11 Irish 2000 Guineas victories then anything the Aidan O’Brien stable run has to be noted – they’ve just the one runner this year – Ivy League. But, this 3 year-old was last seen finishing second in the G3 Amethyst Stakes at Leopardstown 2 weeks ago and based on that effort – plus in this better race – you fell he’ll need to step up.
Trainer Jim Bolger laneed this prize 12 months ago and tries to follow-up – this time with Wexford Native , but is rated 19lbs inferior to Native Trail and was also beaten 4 lengths by another runner – BUCKAROO (e/w) – here last time at the Curragh.
Buckaroo, looks to have a solid each-way chance though and is the main threat to the Godolphin horse. We know the track is fine and this Joseph O’Brien runner has also run well in Group One complany in the past when 4th in the Criterium de Saint Cloud in France last October. As mentioned, he can give Native Trail most to think about.
Finally, the only other UK runner in the field away from Native Trial is the Andrew Balding-trained Imperial Fighter This 3 year-old has a small chance of picking up some prize money too after a close third in a Listed race at Newcastle last time.
He was also runner-up to this year’s 2000 Guineas winner – Coroebus – at HQ last October (beaten just 2 lengths) and was also just beaten just over 2 lengths in the G1 Vertem Futurity Trophy Stakes at Doncaster last season.
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