2021 Epsom Dash Free Tips and Trends

Epsom horse racing tips and trends

Epsom racecourse’s 5 furlongs is often billed as one of the fastest in the world – blink and you’ll miss this one – The Epsom Dash, run at their two-day Derby Meeting each year.

In 2012 we saw a shock 50/1 winner when John Best’s Stone Of Folca, landed the prize, while in 2013 we saw the first winning favourite win for some time. The 2020 running was cancelled due to the Covid-19 outbreak, so the last winner we saw was in 2019 – Ornate, from the Dave Griffiths yard.

The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 16.5/1, so don’t be afraid to look further down the betting when trying to find the winner, while 13 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 8 or higher.

It’s also worth noting that Caspian Prince has landed three of the last 6 runnings , so if lining up again is a horse to certainly have on your radar.

We take a look at past winners, plus we’ve got more key trends and stats ahead of this 2021 renewal – this year run on Saturday 5th June.

 

Recent Epsom Dash Winners

2020 – No Race (Covid)
2019 – ORNATE (33/1)
2018 – TANASOQ (12/1)
2017 – CASPIAN PRINCE (25/1)
2016 – CASPIAN PRINCE (11/1)
2015 – DESERT LAW (16/1)
2014 – CASPIAN PRINCE (9/1)
2013 – DUKE OF FIRENZE (5/1 fav)
2012 – STONE OF FOLCA (50/1)
2011 – CAPTAIN DUNNE (13/2)
2010 – BERTOLIVER (33/1)
2009 – INDIAN TRAIL (11/1)
2008 – HOLBECK GHYLL (15/2)
2007 – HOGMANEIGH (7/1)
2006 – DESERT LORD (12/1)
2005 – FIRE UP THE BAND (14/1)
2004 – CARIBBEAN CORAL (20/1)
2003 – ATLANTIC VIKING (9/1)

 

Epsom Dash Betting Trends and Stats

17/18 – Didn’t win last time out
16/18 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (12 within the last 4 weeks)
14/18 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
14/18– Unplaced favourites
13/18 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
13/18 – Came from stall 8 or higher
12/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/18 – Had raced at Epsom previously (4 had won)
5/18 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/18 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 17 renewals is 16.5/1
Ornate won this race in 2019
Caspian Prince won this race in 2014, 2016 and 2017
Duke Of Firenze won this race in 2013

 

JUICESTORM VERDICT: Run over one of the fasted 5f tracks on the planet, then blink and you might miss this one! Plenty of speedsters on show that only have one way of runner – blast out and try and hang on. That applies to the 2019 winner of this race – Ornate – who landed this prize when it was last run. He’s rated a pound lower this time too and in a race that is likely to be settled by a split decision or a fine margin, he should at least be out of trouble out in front. He’ll have company for the lead from CASPIAN PRINCE (e/w), who also likes to run from the front. He’s also a three-time winner of this race and despite his advancing years (12), he’s been running well this year without winning and heads here off a dropping mark that could make him dangerous in a race we know he loves. In 2019, we finished 9th, but was only beaten 2 ½ lengths – this time he’s rated a massive 18lbs lower! Recon Mission, Pettochside, Duke Of Firenze, who is yet another previous winner of this race and Mokaatil are other proven course winners here that have to noted. While the likes of Stone Destiny, Copper Knight, Only Spoofing and Sunday Sovereign head here in good order and are sure to be popular in the betting. However, the other call is YIMOU (e/w). This 6 year-old ticks a fair few of the positive trends, including age, weight and draw, while last time out at Newmarket he ran well on his return. That came off a 227-day break and he also didn’t get the best of runs that day – squeezed for room – so could have got even closer.

 

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