Saturday 16th September
Bristol City v Derby
Derby have had the better of this fixture in recent years with five wins and a draw in the last eight meetings. Five of the eight games were Over 2.5 goals. Both have had a fair start to the season, Bristol drawn four and won two of seven, Derby won three and drawn one of six. Bristol had a great result at Wolves midweek and despite their poor record against Derby will be tough to beat. The game jumps out as a draw so perhaps trade correct scores 1-17.00 (6/1) and 2-2 15.00 (14/1) for a green book
Cardiff v Sheffield Wednesday
Cardiff won their first five games but have since slipped up with a draw and a loss, Wednesday have won three of their last four and have found their form. This game is always hard fought with not much between the teams. Wednesday won two; Cardiff three and three draws in the last eight meetings, in Cardiff 1-1, 2-2, 2-1 and 1-0. Cardiff and Sheff Wed have each scored in six of seven games this season so I like the Both Teams To Score at 1.91 (10/11) which keeps it simple.
Birmingham v Preston
Birmingham have lost five of seven including their last four and have scored only three goals, the Harry Redknapp magic has not rubbed off yet. Preston have lost just one of seven and are unbeaten in the last four including a 3-0 drubbing of leaders Cardiff in midweek. Four recent meetings at this level have seen three draws which slightly puts me off Preston with three of the four games going Over 2.5 goals. The options are Lay Birmingham at around 2.88 (15/8) or back Preston in the Draw No Bet market at 1.91 (10/11) preference for the latter.
Nottingham Forest v Wolves
Wolves have won three and drawn two of the last five meetings and in Nottingham the scores have finished 0-2, 1-1, 1-2 and 3-1. Wolves sit in fourth and have lost just once this season with Forest winning four of seven and sitting in eighth. Wolves and Forest have scored in six of seven games so who will come out on top? That is a tough call and I prefer to go with Both Teams To Score at 1.80 (4/5).
Millwall v Leeds
This is a classic case of one team in top form against another struggling weighed up against past stats which suggest the opposite. I know many believe past stats are irrelevant and it is a question I put to a former International payer who said that it does get into player’s minds when you continually read about it which is why it can affect performance, even at the top level. Mind games are strange things and Millwall will be keen to let the Leeds players know that they have beaten them four times out of the last five at home. That said, Leeds are on fire and top the league with five wins and two draws, they have not conceded in the last six. Millwall have won just once but managed three draws. One other stat to add is that the two have not played a draw in the last ten meetings. That actually gives us a better option than betting Leeds at 2.60 (8/5) so Lay The Draw is the call.