Saturday 18th November 2017
Sheff Wed v Bristol City
This looks like a game for goals and four of the last six head to head have been Over 2.5 goals. In those six games only once did a side fail to score so we can certainly consider Both Teams To Score here if we don’t want to play the Overs. In Sheff Wed home games and Bristol City away games, Over 2.5 goals has landed in two thirds of those games and that looks the better value option available at 1.91 (10/11).
Birmingham v Nottm Forest
Since Forest were beaten at Derby, the have turned it around winning three of their last four. Birmingham continue to struggle and have not scored in their last four and that has been their problem all season. The game really revolves around the Forest attitude, if they go for it they can win and rack up a few goals, any negativity and the game could peter out into a dull 0-0 draw. Three of the last four head to head were Under and in Birmingham the last four ended 0-0, 0-1, 2-1 and 0-0. It might be worth listening to how the game starts before getting involved here and if Forest do go on the front foot then they could be worth betting after 10-15 minutes. The only other alternative is to play Unders.
Fulham v Derby
Fulham have slipped up recently losing three of their last four whilst Derby have not lost in their last four away. Perhaps the International break will have sharpened the home side up but games between these two are tight, the last three at Craven Cottage ended 2-2, 1-1 and 2-0. I can see this ending a draw and 1-1 looks the likeliest outcome. Try backing 1-1 at around 7.50 (13/2) and trading for a green book.
Sunday 19th November 2017
Leeds v Middlesbrough
Leeds are in freefall and have lost six of their last seven with the visitors in top form winning their last three. This fixture is usually quite dull with seven of the last ten meetings being Under 2.5 goals with recent head to head in Leeds ending 0-0, 1-0, 2-1, 2-1, 0-1 and 1-1. If you don’t fancy playing Unders it’s a tough call but I can see Boro nicking it by the odd goal perhaps 1-0 with no major confidence.
Laying Correct Score In Running
There are two further games this weekend that have thrown up a decent trading stat for those of you who like to play in running. Reading v Wolves and Norwich v Barnsley have both thrown up stats for late goals this season and there is a high probability that we will get a goal after the 70th minute in both these games. Norwich have scored 40% of their goals in this period and the other three sides are not far behind, in both scoring and conceding in this period. As the current correct score price around that time of the game should be somewhere around 2.00 (Evs) then it is worth a small Lay of that score for small stakes.
Note: Odds are subject to change