Thursday 28th January 2021
Tottenham Hotspur v Liverpool 20:00
- Already played this season, Liverpool 2-1 Spurs
- Last season’s repeat fixture ended, Spurs 0-1 Liverpool
- Firmino (Liverpool) has scored in the last 2 head-to-heads
- Mo Salah (Liverpool) has scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-heads
- Harry Kane (Spurs) has scored in 3 of the last 7 league head-to-heads
- Both teams scored in 9 of the last 12 league head-to-heads
- 6 of the last 8 league head-to-heads went OVER 2.5 GOALS (all comps)
- Liverpool are unbeaten in 6 of the last 7 repeat league fixtures
- Liverpool have won the last 6 head-to-heads
A massive game in the English Premier League this Thursday night as title hopefuls, Spurs, host the champions Liverpool.
With Liverpool struggling of late and also being dumped out of the FA Cup last weekend by bitter rivals, Man Utd, then Klopp’s men will be looking to get back on track here.
With this being the last game of the midweek Premier League fixtures then the positions will be different by the time this game comes around, but at the start of this round of games, Liverpool are on 34 points and Spurs on 33 (with a game in-hand) – with leaders Man Utd, who face Sheff Utd at home on Wednesday, on 40 points.
The match betting sees Liverpool at the favourites, despite their recent poor form, at 2.20, with the draw 3.50 and Spurs 3.20.
Yes, Liverpool managed to score two goals at Man Utd last weekend in the cup, but they’ve failed to net in their last FOUR (yes, four!) league games. They are clearly at a very crucial period in their season and if the champions want to get back on track and still have a shot of retaining their title, this – you feel – is a ‘must-win’ game. Should they taste defeat and lose further ground on the likes of Man Utd, Leicester and Man City, then it could be curtains for the Reds.
The sides have already played this season – that ended Liverpool 2-1 Spurs, that required a late Firmino goal to get all three points, while this repeat fixture last season ended Spurs 0-1 Liverpool.
In fact, Liverpool will gain confidence knowing they are unbeaten in 6 of the last 7 repeat fixtures too and have won the last 6 head-to-heads.
It’s normally a clash that produces goals too. 6 of the last 8 went OVER 2.5 GOALS, so the 1.80 on offer here looks a good option, while both teams have scored in 9 of the last 12 meetings – a repeat is on offer at 1.61.
The usual suspects for both sides have done well in this fixture too. Liverpool’s Firmino has netted in the last two meetings, while Mo Salah has scored in 3 of the last 4. Firmino is 7.00 (1st) or 2.87 (anytime), while Salah is 4.00 (1st) or 1.83 (anytime).
Looking at Spurs, Harry Kane has found the net in 3 of the last 7 clashes and is on offer at 4.33 (1st) or 1.90 (anytime), plus Son, who scored when these sides last met is 7.00 (1st) or 2.87 (anytime).
Overall, it’s a heavyweight fixture that is going to have a big impact on the title race – no matter what the outcome. You feel with their current woes, the pressure is clearly on Liverpool though as they know a defeat here – or even a draw – would make it an uphill struggle to retain their title. A win for Spurs, and Mourhino’s men will remain firmly in with a shot of the title, as they’d have a game in-hand on Man Utd and Leicester still too.
With home advantage and Mourhino sure to be relishing the chance to scupper Liverpool’s title hopes, then Spurs/Draw in the ‘double chance’ market catches the eye – you’d just need to avoid a Liverpool win here to get a payout.
It’s a game that can be expected to have goals too. Both teams to score at 1.61 looks a fairly obvious call with the firepower each side have, but on the flipside doesn’t look great value either.
So, at a slightly better 1.80, the game to have 3 (or more) goals in is the way we are going to play this – Over 2.5 Goals has paid out in 75% of the last 8 clashes between Spurs and Liverpool so there looks to be some value in that price.
JUICESTORM VERDICT: OVER 2.5 GOALS @1.80
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