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Wednesday 8th September 2021
Poland v England 19:45
World Cup Qualifier
- FIFA World Ranking, England 4, Poland 27
- Met 20 times, England 12, Draws 7, Poland 1
- Last met (2021, World Cup Qual), England 2-1 Poland
- England have won 3 of the last 5 games 2-1
- England are 17 games unbeaten vs Poland
- 5 of the last 7 head-to-heads played in Poland ended in DRAWS
- 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads went OVER 2.5 GOALS
- England have scored in 12 of their last 13 games vs Poland
- Poland last beat England in 1973
- England have conceded just 2 goals in their last 11 games
- 9 of England’s last 13 games went UNDER 2.5 GOALS
- Both DIDN’T score in 9 of England’s last 11 games
- England are currently 15 games unbeaten (90 mins)
- England have won 11 of their last 15 games ‘to nil’
- Kane (England) is their current top scorer (40)
- 9 of Poland’s last 11 games went OVER 2.5 GOALS
- All of Poland’s last 8 games saw BOTH TEAMS SCORE
- Poland have scored in all their last 11 games
- Lewandowski (Poland) is their current top scorer (66)
The last game in this latest set of World Cup qualifying matches for England is a tricky trip to Poland on Wednesday night, in what is arguably their toughest game in the group.
That said, England will head to Poland full of confidence after recent 4-0 wins over Hungary and Andorra, while they saw off Poland 2-1 at Wembley in this return fixture back in March.
In total, the sides have met 20 times, with England winning 12 of those and even though we’ve seen a spate of draws (7), Poland have actually only beaten England once and that came back in 1973!
The match betting sees Poland at 5.25, the draw 3.60, with England the clear favourites at 1.66.
England also head into the game top of the qualifying group with a maximum 15 points from their opening five games, with Poland next best with 10 points.
As mentioned, the last time the countries played England won 2-1, but this has also been a popular scoreline in recent clashes, with three of the last five meetings today also ending 2-1 to England – you can back a repeat of this correct score at 8.50.
We can’t overlook the draw though – mainly because 5 of the last 7 head-to-heads played in Poland between the sides have ended with the honours shared.
Three of the last 5 head-to-heads saw Over 2.5 goals, while 9 of Poland’s last 11 games also had 3+ goals in – you can back this at 2.10, with Under 2.5 goals the shorter price at 1.75.
Both teams to score could be another option – ALL of Poland’s last 8 games saw both sides find the back of the net, but a small word of caution here as England have also won 11 of their last 15 games ‘to nil’ and don’t let many goals in these days. You can back Both Teams To Score at 2.00, or 1.75 on one (or both) keeping a clean sheet.
With Southgate making a lot of expected changes for England’s last game against Andorra, we can expect a stronger starting eleven here, with Poland away set to be a much harder encounter. A win for England and that will all but see them through the group, but a draw for the Three Lions will also be a cracking result and it’s hard to not see the European Championship runners-up topping this qualifying group once all the games have been played.
Looking at the scoring markets, England’s usual suspects of Harry Kane and Raheem Sterling will be popular. Kane has been on target in their last two games and is on offer at 4.00 (1st) or 2.00 (anytime), while Sterling is 6.50 (1st) or 2.87 (anytime).
Poland’s top scorer – Robert Lewandowski – needs little introduction and rarely a game goes by for them with him getting on the scoresheet – he’s 6.50 (1st) or 2.87 (anytime), while another Poland player to have on your radar is Adam Buska, who netted a hat-trick in their recent 7-1 win over San Marino – he’s 10.00 (1st) or 4.33 (anytime).
Overall, it’s expected to be a cagey game for England and is likely to be their toughest test to date in this qualifying group. But England are improving all the time and Southgate has a strong depth to his squad these days to call upon.
England will certainly take a draw here – an outcome that has happened in 5 of their last 7 head-to-heads played in Poland – but they will also know a win will be huge. We expect their defence to be tested a lot more this time and with Poland having netted 11 times in their last two games, plus having home advantage, then the Both Teams To Score option at 2.00 looks fair value – a bet that should hopefully give us a good run for our money right through the game.
JUICESTORM VERDICT: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE @2.00
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