La Liga Trading Focus: 4th-6th Oct 2019

La Liga Football Tips

Friday 4th October 2019

Real Betis v Eibar

Betis are unbeaten in three at home whilst Eibar have won their last two games but have not won away from home. The last three head to head were all Under 2.5 goals as were the last three meetings in Seville. Eibar showed fighting spirit to come from 2-0 down to beat Sevilla 3-2 and then followed up with a win over Celta Vigo and Betis were poor in a 5-1 thrashing at Villarreal last week. Betis at home should be too strong for Eibar and 2.00 seems a fair enough price but the recommendation is to trade for your stake back if they lead, as they can be vulnerable.

 

Saturday 5th October 2019

Leganes v Levante

Leganes have yet to win this season and five of their seven games finished Under 2.5 goals. Levante have lost all three away games, but they have at least won twice this season. Only four recent head to head and three were won to Nil and one ended 0-0. The sensible play here is to keep stakes low and as there is little between the two teams, we should go with Levante at 4.33 with a view to trading.

Real Madrid v Granada

Real Madrid have won the last eight head to head with the four home games ending 5-0, 1-0, 9-1 and 2-0. Real are unbeaten so far this season and will be a banker for many people, but Granada have had a great start to the campaign and are unbeaten away from home and sit second in the table behind Real. They have scored in all away games so the home side should not take them for granted and Both Teams To Score at 1.70 is the choice for small stakes.

Valencia v Alaves

Valencia had a fine win at Bilbao last week and look to be back on track after a quietish start. Alaves ended a three-game losing run by beating Mallorca last week, but they have struggled on the road with just a point at Getafe so far. Valencia are unbeaten at home but have drawn three of the four games. In six recent head to head, all were Over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in them all. The three games in Valencia ended 3-1, 3-1 and 2-1 so we have plenty of options here, it is just finding the best value. With Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score both available at 2.10 we could go with both or if just trying one, preference would be for the former.

 

Sunday 6th October 2019

Celta Vigo v Athletic Bilbao

Celta have managed just the one win so far and six of the seven games have been Under 2.5 goals. Bilbao suffered their first defeat last week to Valencia, but they have drawn all three away games and all seven games were Under 2.5 goals. As we have said before, sometimes it is best to just go with the obvious and neither team is very expansive so Under 2.5 goals will appeal to many at 1.50, however it is not great value and with six of the last seven head to head being Over 2.5 goals, it might be better to chance that at 2.50 with a view to trading out if early goals.

Barcelona v Sevilla

The match of the weekend and Barcelona are unbeaten at home, so Sevilla have it all to do, despite winning three of their four away games so far. The last fourteen league meetings were all Over 2.5 goals with eight of them Over 3.5 goals. The recent games in Barcelona ended 4-2, 2-1, 3-0, 2-1 and 5-1. As expected, the bookies have the goals markets covered but 2.30 for Over 3.5 goals as a trading option still appeals.

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