La Liga Trading Focus: 16th-18th June 2020

La Liga Football Tips

Tuesday 16th June 2020

Getafe v Espanyol

Two contradictory stats here, four of the last five overall head to head were Under 2.5 goals, but three of the last four meetings in Getafe were Over 2.5 goals. The last two head to head were both at Espanyol and ended 1-1. Getafe lost after leading at Granada and that was a bit of a shock and has damaged their hopes of Champions League Football and they must take three points here. Espanyol have won only twice in seventeen, and as bad as that defeat at Granada was, Getafe should be backed here at 1.95 with maybe taking your stake back if they lead.

Getafe 39% Over 2.5 goals   14% Over 3.5 goals

Espanyol 48% Over 2.5 goals   22% Over 3.5 goals

No resumption stats yet as the weekend games yet to take place.

Villarreal v Mallorca

Only one recent head to head which Mallorca won 3-1 back in November. This game really comes down to Villarreal going out as the home side to win, but they are short at 1.57. A better bet here has to be goals, with 1.70 for Over 2.5 goals a fair play with the last four Villarreal home games, and the last two Mallorca away games seeing plenty of goals.

Villarreal 74% Over 2.5 goals   30% Over 3.5 goals

Mallorca 48% Over 2.5 goals   26% Over 3.5 goals

No resumption stats yet as the weekend games yet to take place.

Wednesday 17th June 2020

Eibar v Athletic Bilbao

Another game for insomniacs with the last six head to head all Under 2.5 goals, with four of the six Under 1.5 goals. The three games in Eibar ended 1-1, 0-1 and 0-1. Bilbao games are awful for goals scored with only 7% going Over 3.5 goals. Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.50 which is about right so it might be worth chancing Under 1.5 goals at 2.62 with a plan to trade out as soon as you get a decent profit.

Eibar 56% Over 2.5 goals   19% Over 3.5 goals

Athletic Bilbao 26% Over 2.5 goals   7% Over 3.5 goals

No resumption stats yet as the weekend games yet to take place.

Valladolid v Celta Vigo

These two have only played each other three times recently with two draws in Vigo and a home win for Valladolid by 2-1. There will once again be little between the two, Celta have drawn eight of their last thirteen so are difficult to beat. Valladolid have drawn seven at home so the value call here is to probably bet the draw, although I prefer to trade correct scores around 0-0 and 1-1 for a green book. This bet would have been successful in six of the seven Valladolid home draws and five of Celta’s six away draws.

Valladolid 30% Over 2.5 goals   11% Over 3.5 goals

Celta Vigo 33% Over 2.5 goals   26% Over 3.5 goals

No resumption stats yet as the weekend games yet to take place.

Osasuna v Atletico Madrid

Three recent meetings all won by Atletico to Nil. It is hard to see any other result than an Atletico win, but they never make things easy and a 1-0 win would not be a huge surprise. Only 1 in 4 Atletico games goes Over 2.5 goals so they tend to bore teams to defeat. It might be worth taking a chance here, by Laying Atletico at 1.85 and hope that Osasuna can hold them for a decent period of the game or even nick a goal. Atletico have only won three away this season, drawing seven.

Osasuna 44% Over 2.5 goals   33% Over 3.5 goals

Atletico Madrid 26% Over 2.5 goals   19% Over 3.5 goals

No resumption stats yet as the weekend games yet to take place.

Thursday 18th June 2020

Real Madrid v Valencia

Real have won four and drawn two of the last eight overall head to head. Five of the last six meetings in Madrid were Over 2.5 goals, four of them Over 3.5 goals. Three of those six games in Madrid ended 2-2. Valencia thought they had taken three points against Levante until a 95th minute penalty for the visitors saw them finish 1-1. This is a toss up between Over 3.5 goals at 2.30 or Both Teams To Score at 1.70, and I think the latter is a slightly better play.

Real Madrid 48% Over 2.5 goals   33% Over 3.5 goals

Valencia 46% Over 2.5 goals   21% Over 3.5 goals

No resumption stats yet as the weekend games yet to take place.

 

 

 

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