Not a lot to go on this week as the Championship and Bundesliga near the end of the season.
Brighton go to Aston Villa probably now needing a win as Newcastle should beat Barnsley at home. Brighton have let it slip with two losses and may have a job getting back up for this game so a win for Aston Villa is clearly a possible. At the bottom, Blackburn, Nottingham Forest and Birmingham are all in danger of going down. Birmingham have it in their own hands and a win at Bristol City will see them safe, a draw may be enough but Bristol City have won four and drawn one of their last five and are in better form. The other two really need to win and then hope.
Sunday 7th May
12.00 Brentford v Blackburn
Blackburn won the reverse fixture at Ewood 3-2 and won 1-0 on their last visit here. Brentford have lost just one of their last eight, winning five and scoring in all, Blackburn have drawn six of their last eleven away and are unbeaten in four. What gives? Brentford have nothing to play for and Blackburn everything to play for. If this was not the last game of the season, Brentford would be much shorter in price and I am tempted to take the 2.40 (7/5) about the home side who can play without pressure and will want to go out with a win in front of their home fans. Brentford to win.
Sunday 7th May
12.00 Nottingham Forest v Ipswich
Forest must win and have won two of their last three at home. Ipswich are in form winning three of their last five. Forest have always had a good record in this fixture at home, drawing the last three and winning the three before that. New manager Mark Warburton seems to have got them together at the right time and they can win this but at 4/7 (1.57) we must look elsewhere. Try a couple of correct scores 2-0 @15/2 and 2-1 @15/2 for small stakes
The other games can be left alone.
Friday 5th May
19.30 FC Koln v Werder Bremen
Seven sides can still get a Europa League place, Koln are on of them but Bremen are in a much better position following an eleven match unbeaten run. Team spirit is high as twice in the last three games they have come from behind. Koln have lost three of their last six and Werder are in better form. Koln must win but I don’t think they are good enough. The last six meetings today of these two have been Under 2.5 goals, four of them ended 1-1 so a draw is the obvious play and 1-1 is a possibility again. For me however, Bremen have not let us down recently and we have to go with them again. The 2/1 has disappeared but 9/5 (2.80) is still worth a bet or you could consider laying Koln at around 2.40 (7/5).
Of the other games only Hamburg v Mainz on Sunday appeals with both sides fighting relegation. Mainz struggle on the road and are not in the best form, losing six of their last eight, ten from fifteen away this season. I was tempted with Hamburg at around 2.30 (13/10) but can you bet a side who have lost four of their last five? If you must play this game, Overs could be the call, seven of the last eight meetings today went Over.
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