Euro 2020 Final (Wembley, London)
Sunday 11th July 2021
Italy v England 20:00
- FIFA World Rankings, Italy 7, England 4
- Met 27 times, England 8, Draws 9, Italy 10
- Last met (Int Friendly, 2018), England 1-1 Italy
- The last 2 head-to-heads ended 1-1
- Italy have lost just 1 of their last 8 vs England
- Both teams scored in the last 4 head-to-heads
- Italy have scored in 6 of their last 7 vs England
- England have scored in 5 of their last 6 vs Italy
- England have conceded just 1 goal in their last 8 games
- 8 of England’s last 10 games went UNDER 2.5 GOALS
- England are currently 12 games unbeaten
- Kane (England) is their current top scorer (38)
- Italy have won 12 of their last 14 games
- Italy are unbeaten in their last 33 games
- Italy have not been behind in their last 18 games
- Italy have conceded just one goal in open play in their last 14 games
- Italy have scored 2+ goals in 11 of their last 14 games
- Italy have scored in their last 15 games
- Both teams DIDN’T score in 12 of Italy’s last 14 games (90 mins)
- Immobile (Italy) and Belotti (Italy) are their current top scorers (12)
The Euro 2020 Final will be fought out between England and Italy in what promises to be a ‘must-see’ clash.
Of course, England are yet to win this tournament, but Italy has past form having won the competition back in 1968, plus have also lost in two finals (2000 & 2012).
Both nations have certainly caught the eye during the event and head here with impressive unbeaten runs – England are now 12 games without a loss after getting by Denmark in extra-time in the Semi-final on Wednesday, while Italy come here on an incredible 33-game unbeaten run after seeing off Spain on penalties in their last game.
The current head-to-head record is tight, with 27 previous clashes – Italy just edge it with 10 wins, to England’s 8 and 9 draws. While the World FIFA rankings are tight too, with England in 4th place and Italy in 7th – both are sure to improve those positions after this game too.
These past records and the excellent current form of the sides is also reflected in the betting – it couldn’t be much closer. In the 90 mins match betting, England are 2.87, the Draw 3.00 and Italy 2.75, with the outright market reading Italy 2.00 and England 1.80.
It really is a ‘coin-flick’ kind of match, with strong cases to be made for both nations.
The last head-to-head between the sides was in 2018 and that ended 1-1, plus, in fact, the last two clashes ended with that score – you can back 1-1 at 6.50.
Italy head here having also lost only one of their last 8 against England, but with home advantage for the Three Lions and a roaring Wembley crowd the Italians will know this won’t be easy.
Coupled with the impressive Italy unbeaten run of 33 games, the other remarkable stat they currently have is that they’ve not even been behind in their last 18 games!! Wow!
They’ve also conceded only 1 goal in open play (90 mins) in their last 14 games and have now won 12 of their last 14 matches.
But England are building up some impressive stats of their own – Gareth Southgate’s men are 12 games without a loss and have conceded only one goal in their last 8 games – that came in their last game against Denmark.
Looking at the scoring markets – both teams have netted in the last four head-to-heads, plus with Italy scoring in 6 of their last 7 vs England and the Three Lions having scored in 5 of their last 6 against Italy, then both teams to find the back of the net in the 90 mins is sure to be popular at 2.10.
Over 2.5 Goals is on offer at 2.50, but with 8 of England’s last 10 games going UNDER 2.5 GOALS – it’s no shock to see this at the lower price at just 1.53.
The goal player scoring markets will, of course be dominated by Harry Kane, who has netted 38 times for his country, and has now bagged four goals in this tournament – he’s 5.00 (1st) or 2.50 (anytime), while Raheem Sterling is next best of the England players at 8.50 (1st) or 4.00 (anytime).
The Italians current top scorers are Ciro Immobile and Andrea Belotti – both with 12 goals – Immobile is 6.50 (1st) or 3.10 (anytime), while Belotti is 7.50 (1st) or 3.60 (anytime).
Overall, it’s a fascinating game that will probably come down to a fine margin play or decision by one of the managers – Gareth Southgate or Roberto Mancini – we can expect the Italians to be hard to break down as they love defending and celebrate goal-saving just like they’ve scored at the other end.
But England do seem to have a depth to their squad now and Southgate has been finding that – barring injuries – leaving his starting 11 on for the bulk of the game and then having the option to war down the opposition late on with an array of talent from the bench – like Grealish, Sancho, Henderson, Bellingham Rashford and Foden – this could be the difference.
That said, you feel that if the Italians score the first goal, they will make it even harder for England to get back into the game and let’s not overlook the fact the last time they lost a game was in 2018 and 34 matches ago!
Overall, it’s a short price, but the safe call is to stick with UNDER 2.5 GOALS at 1.53 for those wanting to approach the game with a bit of caution. However, at a slightly better 2.10 we are going to take BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE at 2.10. This bet has paid out in ALL of the last four meetings between the nations. Yes, both teams have solid defences too, but, in contrast, also have plenty of firepower up top to suggest the both teams to score option will give us a good run for our money.
Enjoy the Game!
JUICESTORM VERDICT: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE @2.10