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Wednesday 7th July 2021
Euro 2020 Semi-Final
England v Denmark 20:00
- FIFA World Rankings, England 4, Denmark 10
- Met 21 times, Denmark 4, Draws 5, England 12
- Last met (Nations League, 2020) England 0-1 Denmark
- The last 3 head-to-heads saw UNDER 1.5 GOALS
- England have NOT scored in their last 2 games vs Denmark
- Denmark have scored just 1 goal in their last 3 games vs England
- Both teams DIDN’T score in the last 3 head-to-heads
- Both teams DIDN’T score in 7 of the last 10 head-to-heads
- Last meeting saw 2 RED CARDS (both England – Maguire, James)
- England have not conceded in their last 7 games
- 7 of England’s last 9 games went UNDER 2.5 GOALS
- England are 11 games unbeaten
- Kane (England) is their current top scorer (37)
- Denmark have scored in 15 of their last 16 games
- Denmark have scored 10 goals in their last 3 games
- Denmark’s last 4 games went OVER 2.5 GOALS
The second of the two Euro 2020 Semi Finals sees England hosting Denmark at Wembley on Wednesday night – a ‘must-see’ clash with plenty at stake for both sides.
England will, of course, have the nation hoping their can final stop singing ‘It’s Coming Home’ and win this tournament – the line-up for only their second semi-final in this competition, with the last coming in 1996 which they lost on penalties to Germany.
Famously it was the now England boss – Gareth Southgate that missed the crucial penalty for the Three Lions back in 1996, so could the writing be on the wall for the former Crystal Palace man to avenge that agony by guiding England all the way?
The face a Denmark side, who have scored 10 goals in their last three games, and will certainly be no pushovers. You feel the Danes are playing with an extra man at present too, with the squad all getting behind their current top-scorer – Christian Eriksen – who, as we all know, suffered a cardiac arrest in their opening game against Finland and may never play football again.
The 90mis match odds make England favourites at 1.70, with the Draw 3.60 and Denmark 5.50, with the ‘to qualify’ odds see England at 1.33 and Denmark at 3.25.
In total, the sides have met 21 times, and England have the clear upperhand with 12 wins to Denmark’s 4 – with 5 draws.
However, the Danes will gain confidence by knowing the last time they played (2020, Nations League) they beat England 1-0 and that was also played at Wembley.
While, England have also failed to score in their last two against Denmark. That said, Denmark have hardly been prolific on the scoring front themselves – they’ve netted only once in their last three against the Three Lions!
Denmark suffered two early blimps in this competition with defeats at Finland and Belgium, but after the Eriksen incident that is understandable – they’ve since bounced back with three wins and in the process scored 10 goals in their matches.
England have also caught the eye in this event – mainly with their defensive qualities. They’ve yet to let a goal in during this tournament and are now 7 games without conceding – you can back another England clean sheet here at 1.72.
The Three Lions are also now 11 games unbeaten and prior to either of the two semi-finals being played are the outright tournament favourites.
Denmark though have managed to score in 15 of their last 16 games so keeping them at bay won’t be easy for England and with a fairly easy run up until now you feel this will be the best opposition they faced – with Spain or Italy waiting for them in the final, should they win this.
The Overs/Unders market is a tricky one as Denmark’s last four games all went OVER 2.5 GOALS, while 7 of England’s last 9 went UNDER 2.5 GOALS. You can back Over 2.5 goals at 2.30 and Under 2.50 goals at 1.61.
It could also pay to note that the last clash between the sides saw TWO RED CARDS – both for England – Maguire got sent off in the 31st minute so that would have certainly helped the Danes to win that game 1-0, while Reece James saw red in the 90th min.
The scoring markets are dominated by England’s Harry Kane, who has now scored three in this last two games after a bit of a dry spell – the Spurs hitman is on offer at 4.00 (1st) or 2.05 (anytime). Denmark’s Kasper Dolberg has been in good scoring form for them – netting three in their last two – he’s on offer at 10.00 (1st) or 4.50 (anytime).
Overall, it’s tough game to call, but one England should be expected to just edge. But with this being a semi-final and a lot at stake for both nations, this could easily turn into a cagey affair. With that in mind, we’ll going to side with UNDER 2.5 GOALS @1.61 – a bet that’s paid out in 78% of England’s last 9 games.
Enjoy the game!
JUICESTORM VERDICT: UNDER 2.5 GOALS @1.61
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