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We are back with more Championship action this weekend. Our trading team take a look at the best of the action.
Friday 17th August 2018
Birmingham v Swansea
No recent meetings today to go on so we need to look at current form with Birmingham conceding late, to drop two points at home to Norwich and then losing at Middlesbrough despite creating plenty of chances. Swansea have started really well with victory at Sheff Utd before a tough victory over a solid Preston side who had most of the possession and chances. Swansea to win at 2.30 (13/10) looks the way to go here with the strong Scottish partnership of McKay and McBurnie up front having the ability to run riot.
Saturday 18th August 2018
Millwall v Derby
I am happy to oppose Derby at present until they show some consistency and they look vulnerable at the back especially against pace. Millwall are strong at home and looked to have the game sewn up when two up with three minutes left against Middlesbrough before two late goals secured the visitors a point. I could not see Derby coming back from a similar position so Millwall look worth siding with at 2.25 (5/4) even allowing for the fact that Derby are unbeaten in their last three visits, the last two ending level.
Ipswich v Aston Villa
Aston Villa stunned Wigan with a late winner last weekend and are now two from two this season. In two recent meetings today at Portman Road, Villa have won 4-0 and played a 0-0 draw. Ipswich drew at home on the opening day and then lost to a very late winner at Rotherham. On current form there is a world of difference between these two and Villa must be the selection. At the time of writing there is a touch of 2.00 (Evs) about but that may not last long.
West Brom v QPR
At first glance this looks like a home banker, but we need to dig deeper. West Brom scored four at Norwich which will do their confidence the world of good and are taking on an average QPR side who have struggled for any fluency in both games. The visitors look to be struggling up front and need to sort things out quickly, but they do at least have a good recent record at the Hawthorns winning on their last league visit and in the F.A. Cup. Looking deeper at the game between Norwich and West Brom, it shows that Norwich had the greater possession and by quite a way, more goal attempts and QPR had more shots and more possession even though they lost to Sheff Utd. Early quotes of around 6.00 (5/1) for QPR have disappeared as they were clearly too big and if you can get more than 5.00 then it is worth a small interest. I prefer to play the handicap market and QPR +1 on the standard handicap at 2.20 (6/5) means we will also win if it is a draw.
Preston v Stoke
Preston have started the season exactly as I imagined they would in that they are a well organised side who are very difficult to beat. They have dominated possession in both games, but lack of an end product has cost them, and they should have had six points so far. Stoke have been a disappointment so far as Leeds took them apart and Brentford really should have beaten them when managing a 1-1 draw despite dominating the game at the bet365 stadium last weekend. The trade that jumps out here is Under 2.5 goals which has already been cut in the market but still looks to be a little value at around 1.73 (8/11). Neither is going to set the world on fire attacking wise so the trading angle here is to probably trade for your stake back at around the 25th minute if goalless and leave any profit on Unders with a view to equalling up sometime in the second half if still 0-0.
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