Friday 9th November 2018
Sheffield Utd v Sheff Wed
United have lost two of their last four but meet an out of form Wednesday who have lost their last four. This fixture was 0-0 last year but United did win the away game by 4-2. It will as usual be fiercely fought but I cannot see a 0-0 draw again with United scoring in seven of eight at home and Wednesday scoring in six of eight away. The first goal is usually crucial in local derbies and Sheff Utd have scored first in seven of eight home games and for that reason I think they will come out firing and I can see them winning but I’m not prepared to take 1.50 in a British Derby match. I can see goals despite the goalless draw here last season and 1.83 for Over 2.5 goals appeals more.
Saturday 10th November 2018
Derby v Aston Villa
Derby will be very popular here at 2.10 as they are unbeaten in six and have scored in all home games bar one. They have however, conceded in their last eight games and Villa have scored in all away games except one, but they too concede goals, and have done in all away games so far. Four recent head to head have all been Under 2.5 goals and this is a “Derby match” of sorts so will be tight. I can see this being a draw, so we can either Lay Derby, a little risky, or trade around 1-1 and 2-2 in the correct score market and that is the preferred option.
Birmingham v Hull
Birmingham have won the last two meetings at home and prior to losing at Derby, they had been unbeaten in eleven. They have not lost in eight at home and have made St Andrews a bit of a fortress. They have also scored in their last eight games. Hull have won their last two after a poor run of seven games with no victory but are a little more negative than the home side. Their last seven games have been Under 2.5 goals whilst Birmingham’s last eight games have been Over six times. A toss up really between Birmingham to win at 1.91 or Over 2.5 goals at 2.10 and the latter is just favoured.
Norwich v Millwall
Norwich have won their last four games and Millwall have not won in eight away so it all points to a home win. Norwich are all about goals with three of their last four games being Over and six of the last seven Millwall games were also Over as were the last five head to head. Keep it simple and play the goals with Over 2.5 goals at 2.00.
Reading v Ipswich
Another game that could produce goals with five of the last six meetings being Over 2.5 goals. Both teams are inconsistent, but Reading have at least won three of their last four at home whilst Ipswich have lost three of their last four games. Reading’s strong home form edges it at 2.20 or you could play Over 2.5 at 2.00, I much prefer the goals option.
West Brom v Leeds
The match of the weekend as Leeds continue in strong form. There is no relevant head to head as the two have no recent meetings, so it is all about their current form. West Brom have lost three of their last four but they have scored in all their home games. Leeds have scored in their last ten matches and in every away game so far and have lost just one in seven. Leeds are in better form than the home side and both are on offer at 2.60 and at those prices I would consider Laying West Brom or we could play 1.57 for both teams to score. As that is a little short, I will opt for the Lay of West Brom.
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