Championship Trading Focus: 6th-8th March 2020

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Friday 6th March 2020

Nottm Forest v Millwall

Both these two draw too many games so that is the obvious place to start, with two of the last three meetings today ending 2-2. Millwall have won on three of their last five visits to Forest but not on the last two. Neither have any consistency in recent weeks, but one stat does stand out, in four of Forest’s last five games and in Millwall’s last seven games, the games have ended Under 2.5 goals. Under 2.5 goals at 1.66 is the obvious shout.

Saturday 7th March 2020

Bristol City v Fulham

Bristol City stopped a three-match losing run by drawing at Millwall, but Fulham are in better form with one defeat in ten. Seven recent head to head at this level, six away wins and a draw so at 2.10 Fulham have to be a bet or Lay Bristol City to keep the draw on side.

Birmingham v Reading

Birmingham are still a little bit under the radar but are now unbeaten in ten, six of those were draws. If they had won more of their drawn home games, they would be pushing for a play-off place. Reading are inconsistent and need to win a few to avoid being dragged into a relegation scrap and they have won on two of their last three visits to Birmingham. Both teams to score at 1.80 appeal as the best value here.

Brentford v Sheff Wed

The last five head to head were all home wins and recent games at Brentford ended 2-0, 2-0, 1-1 and 1-2 so not many goals. On current form the draw looks favourite, but Brentford have lost only one in seven and should just shade it, although odds of 1.57 are hardly value. Wednesday are under pressure and manager Garry Monk desperately needs a win and a small interest at 5.00 with a view to trading might pay dividends.

Leeds v Huddersfield

Leeds are back on track, four wins on the bounce, but this is a local derby and that tempers enthusiasm in them, particularly at 1.36. Huddersfield have won their last two and have won their last two at Elland Road. Five of the last six overall head to head were away wins. Leeds won easily last week when we suggested a small Lay, but it is all about value and there is none in that price. Lay Leeds as a trading angle.

Preston v QPR

Just when Preston look back on track, they lose three in four! Frustrating because they are a decent side, maybe they have no bottle, but their home form is strong. QPR are unbeaten in five, but they have lost on their last three visits here.Preston at 2.10 and trade out if they lead.

Swansea v West Brom

West Brom suffered a reverse last week, losing at home to Wigan, but Wigan tend to do that to the top teams, because they also won at Leeds. Swansea are another frustrating team who draw too many games. Only three recent head to head, and west Brom won all three, all Over 2.5 goals. West Brom at 2.10 away from home is a little risky at the price so a better market to chance is West Brom to win and Over 2.5 goals at 3.25.

Sunday 8th March 2020

Derby v Blackburn

Derby won at Sheff Wed last week, their first win in five, Blackburn grabbed a late equaliser at home to Swansea, their third successive draw. Derby play Man Utd in midweek and a lot may depend on what happens there. Blackburn have won four of the last five head to head, with one draw. All things considered, a Lay of Derby at 2.20 as a trading option, looks the best way to go.

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