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This league was always going to take some winning with many of the teams equally matched, however, three teams look particularly strong at present and sit near the top of the table. Leeds and Middlesbrough are back on track with wins in midweek, and West Brom look to have a solid side and travel to Sheff Wed in midweek, where a win will put them top.
At the other end, Preston showed battling qualities in taking a point at Aston Villa and were unlucky not to get all three. Ipswich and Millwall need to get a victory sooner rather than later but there are plenty of games left and lots of twists and turns. There are some difficult looking games this weekend so we will keep it fairly simple.
Saturday 6th October 2018
Leeds v Brentford
Leeds have bounced back from that home defeat with a win and a draw and have scored in ten of eleven games. Brentford have drawn three of their last four and have also scored in ten of eleven, but they just look to have lost their cutting edge at present. The last four head to head in Leeds ended 1-0, 1-0, 1-1 and 0-1 and as seven of the last eight head to head meetings today have been Under 2.5 goals, that looks the obvious play here, but I prefer to bet Leeds at 2.30 and trade for the stake back if they lead.
West Brom v Reading
It is eight years since the two met in the Championship so this one is about current form and that means that the home side are strong favourites. The price of 1.50 is probably fair and can be included in multiples bets but both teams’ games have seen goals in the last couple of weeks and Overs looks the call.
Preston v Wigan
Two recent head to head finished 1-0 to Preston and 0-0 at Wigan. Preston were a little unlucky not to take three points at Villa where a late penalty denied them, and Wigan got a hard-fought point at home to Swansea. Neither is in great form but Preston’s last four home games have all gone Over 3.5 goals so they should at least score. Wigan have tightened up their defence in recent games so Overs is not a guarantee and I prefer both teams to score.
Middlesbrough v Nottingham Forest
A little edge to this game with Karanka taking his Forest side back to the club where he managed for four years. Boro are strong at home and have won three of the last five meetings today at home but it is goals that could be the problem here. Two of the last three meetings today were Under 2.5 goals but four of the last six were Over. It might be better to keep this simple with Boro winning four and drawing one of their five home games and take the 1.80 on a home win.
Sunday 7th October 2018
Bristol City v Sheffield Wed
This is another game where it might be best to keep it simple and go with the obvious. Four of the last five head to head were Over 2.5 goals including the last three here in Bristol. The other option is both teams to score as nine of ten Sheff Wed games have seen both find the net, not so may with Bristol City but as the home side they will be on the attack. Chancing the Overs at around 1.90 may be the best option.
Note: Odds are subject to change.
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