Championship Trading Focus: 4th-5th Oct 2019

Championship Football Betting Guide

 

Friday 4th October 2019

Birmingham v Middlesbrough

A disappointing start to the season for both sides with consistency the big problem. Middlesbrough need to kick start their campaign and this ground has been lucky for them in recent seasons with two wins and three draws in their last five visits. Blues have been solid enough at home up until Preston beat them 1-0 whilst Boro have lost their previous two games and took a bit of a thumping last week off Sheff Wed at home, although they did have plenty of possession and chances. On that basis it might be worth chancing Boro at 3.30 as a trading option.

 

Saturday 5th October 2019

Fulham v Charlton

Only four recent head to head at this level with Fulham winning both the home games and two draws at Charlton. Fulham have lost twice this season but have slipped up a little recently with three draws in their last four matches. Charlton have hit the ground running since their promotion and despite losing two games on the trot, they got back on track by beating Leeds 1-0. Fulham should win at home, but not for me at 1.57 and I would rather go with Both Teams To Score at 1.80, as Charlton are good enough to give Fulham a tough game.

Bristol City v Reading

Reading have won on two of their last four visits to Ashton Gate and never gave up at Swansea last week where they were rewarded with a late equaliser. That ended a run of three defeats and was a welcome point. Bristol City have gone unbeaten since losing on the opening day, although they have drawn four of the eight games. Both teams to score at 1.70 looks a better way than trying to find the winner.

Millwall v Leeds

Leeds have failed to win at Millwall on their last five visits, where Millwall have won four times to Nil and a scrappy 1-1 draw last season. Leeds got beaten at Charlton last week and have won just one in their last four and depending on what happens in midweek, Millwall at 5.50 look a bit big as a trading option.

Nottm Forest v Brentford

Brentford seem to play well at the City Ground with four wins on their last five trips to Nottingham. Four of those five games were Over 2.5 goals and it would be a surprise if there weren’t goals here. Brentford had a fine 3-1 win at Barnsley, but they will need their top game here, as Nottm Forest are unbeaten since losing their first game 2-1 at home to West Brom. I thought Brentford would be a bigger price than they are and I would have been tempted if they were, but I cannot have them at 2.80 and the 1.73 about both teams scoring looks much better value.

QPR v Blackburn

Blackburn are unbeaten in their last four trips to QPR with a victory and three draws. QPR got a football lesson last week from West Brom, but they had won their previous four games, all Over 2.5 goals. QPR have conceded the most goals of any team in the top half of the table, but they have scored in seven of nine games so far. Blackburn are inconsistent, but have won four times, two from four on the road. The Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 looks the best trading option here and those of you who like a bit more of a risk could also try Over 3.5 goals at 2.75.

Swansea v Stoke

Only two meetings in the Championship with both teams winning their home fixture. Swansea conceded a late equaliser at home to Reading last week when looking in control of the game, but they have only lost one game, at home to Forest. I will continue to oppose Stoke who have yet to win this season and despite leading against Forest last week, they succumbed 3-2 and manager Nathan Jones is under huge pressure. By the time this game takes place, he could well have gone depending on how they got on in midweek. We were unlucky with Swansea at home last week, but they can be backed again here at 2.10 and trade out for your stake back if they lead. If the manager does lose his job this week, it may be best to leave well alone, as sides often raise their games when a manager is gone.

West Brom v Cardiff

No recent meetings in the Championship so all about current form. Cardiff are unbeaten in six, but they have drawn four of those and they need to convert some of those draws into victories. West Brom are unbeaten in their first nine games and they have drawn four of those 1-1. If you can get the 1.67 about both teams scoring that could be the way to go, the other reasonable option would be to trade correct scores around 2-1 and 1-1.

 

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