Tuesday 30th June 2020
Reading v Brentford
A mixed bag in the head to head in the last eight meetings with four wins for Brentford, two draws and two wins for Reading. Five of the eight games were Over 2.5 goals. The games at Reading ended 2-1, 0-1, 3-2 and 1-2 so goals more likely. Brentford have won their last three and lost just one in ten. Reading are inconsistent and have not managed to string a decent unbeaten run together, just three wins in fourteen. Brentford at 1.75 look a pretty solid option here as they push for automatic promotion.
Reading 44% Over 2.5 goals 15% Over 3.5 goals
Brentford 46% Over 2.5 goals 31% Over 3.5 goals
Since the restart Brentford have won both games to nil, both Under, with Reading a draw and a loss and one Under one Over.
Wigan v Stoke
Only three recent head to head with one win each and a draw and two of the three Over 2.5 goals. Wigan are on a fine run, just one defeat in eleven and unbeaten in eight. They had been in serious danger of relegation but look fairly safe now if they maintain this level of form. Stoke are in and out with two wins in eight. It is pretty clear the stats point to Wigan, but I think Stoke will get something here, so we can Lay Wigan or go with goals. With the form Wigan have shown of late, the safer option has to be goals at 2.30 as a trading option.
Wigan 46% Over 2.5 goals 23% Over 3.5 goals
Stoke 54% Over 2.5 goals 28% Over 3.5 goals
Since the restart Wigan have won both games 2-0 and Stoke have drawn one and lost one, both Under 2.5 goals.
QPR v Fulham
A real London derby that Fulham cannot afford to lose and QPR will be out to stop them. This is usually an exciting fixture with six of the last seven overall head to head Over 2.5 goals with both teams scoring. Fulham have won on two of the last three visits to QPR with a draw in between. Neither have won since the break, but QPR are safe so Fulham need the points more. The best angle here has to be goals, with Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 a fair option.
QPR 62% Over 2.5 goals 41% Over 3.5 goals
Fulham 46% Over 2.5 goals 15% Over 3.5 goals
Since the restart both sides have lost both of their games, all four to nil, with just one of the Fulham games going Over 2.5 goals.
Leeds v Luton
Are Leeds finally going back to the Premiership? As West Brom try and throw it away, Leeds have looked the more solid and this could finally be their year. They have now won six of their last seven and they have won their last four at home to Nil. Luton are unbeaten in five and have given themselves a chance of staying up, although anything they get from this game will be a bonus. Perhaps they might relax, enjoy and play better. Only one previous meeting which Leeds won 2-1 away back in November. At 2.10 try Leeds to win to Nil.
Leeds 31% Over 2.5 goals 15% Over 3.5 goals
Luton 69% Over 2.5 goals 26% Over 3.5 goals
Since the restart Leeds have won one and lost one, one Under one Over whilst Luton have won one and drawn one, both games Under 2.5 goals.
Wednesday 1st July 2020
Preston v Derby
The stats suggest a Derby win or draw here, they have not lost in the last thirteen head to head. Games are usually tight with the last eight overall head to head all Under 2.5 goals. The matches in Preston ended 0-0, 0-1, 0-1 and 1-2. Derby have won their last four games and there is always a team that makes a late run for the play offs. Preston have not won in five. I think this has to be tight, Preston do not want to lose, and Derby might settle for a draw, so we could trade the correct scores around 1-1, 0-1 and 0-0 and hope to get a green book.
Preston 44% Over 2.5 goals 23% Over 3.5 goals
Derby 54% Over 2.5 goals 26% Over 3.5 goals
Since the restart Derby have won both games and both were Over 2.5 goals. Preston have a draw and a win, with one Under and one Over.
Sheff Wed v West Brom
Can West Brom get back on track for automatic promotion, having failed to score since the break. The two have only three recent meetings with two 1-1 draws and a 2-1 win for West Brom at home. Wednesday had a fine win at Bristol City and have an outside squeak at the playoffs. I really have no clue what might happen here, 3-0 either way, 0-0, 1-1 or 3-3, none of those would surprise me. West Brom are tempting to Lay at 2.05 but if back to their best they will win. I think I would rather chance both teams to score at 1.80 as I can see both grabbing a goal.
Sheff Wed 49% Over 2.5 goals 26% Over 3.5 goals
West Brom 41% Over 2.5 goals 26% Over 3.5 goals
Since the restart Wednesday have won one and drawn one, one Over and one Under, West Brom have drawn one and lost one, both Under.
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