Friday 30th August 2019
Cardiff v Fulham
There have been several recent meetings between the two in the top two tiers and the FA Cup. The games generally produce goals and six of the last eight head to head were Over 2.5 goals with seven of the eight seeing both teams score. The recent head to head in Cardiff have ended 4-2, 2-4, 2-2 and 1-2. Games involving Fulham usually have goals, the last three league games did, and four of Cardiff’s five games also went Over. The obvious play here is Over 2.5 goals and 1.80 seems a fair price. The other option is to Lay 0-0 in the half time correct score market as there must be a very good chance of a first half goal.
Saturday 31st August 2019
Bristol City v Middlesbrough
In the last eight head to head there have been no draws and that may be a stat that interests those of you who Lay the draw. Nothing wrong in that approach, but there are others who look at it the opposite way and say a draw is overdue. As traders that is irrelevant unless it stays 0-0 as we can usually trade out at some point. Four of the last five head to head in Bristol have been Under 2.5 goals and that is available at 1.80.
Birmingham v Stoke
I will continue to oppose Stoke until I see some positive signs, but as yet they continue to play with no direction. Birmingham won both games last season, the only two relevant head to head, so there are not many positive signs for Stoke, although they may take heart from Birmingham getting thumped at Swansea last week. A small lay of Stoke at 2.80 with a view to trading out if Birmingham lead.
Leeds v Swansea
Leeds already look the best side in the division with four wins and a draw and they will be tough to beat, especially at home, but Swansea are also unbeaten and arrive here in great form. Only the two recent meetings, Leeds winning at home 2-1 with a 2-2 draw in Swansea. Both sides attack so we could see goals, and despite Leeds looking really solid, 1.60 is very short when you consider how well Swansea have been playing. Home advantage is a huge thing at this level and a Lay of Leeds may be a little risky, so it is a toss up between Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, both are around 1.73, with slight preference for the latter.
Nottm Forest v Preston
Eight recent meetings at this level and seven were Under 2.5 goals. The games in Nottingham ended 0-1, 0-3, 1-1 and 1-0. Forest had a great win at Fulham last week and Preston saw off Sheff Wed at home. Both sides are pretty equal and there may not be much in this. Under 2.5 goals is 1.80, but this game may buck the trends and I can see it being more attacking than the odds suggest. Both teams to score at 1.83 appeals as a fair option.
Sheff Wed v QPR
Both have made decent starts to the season and recent meetings of the two have produced goals, with four of the last five head to head being Over 2.5 goals. The games in Sheffield ended 1-2, 1-1, 1-0 and 1-1, so the matches here are tighter. Both Wednesday home games this season were Under and that may be a player here at 1.80 but both defences concede, and I prefer the Overs at 2.00.
West Brom v Blackburn
Just the two meetings in recent seasons, last year Blackburn won 2-1 at home and managed a 1-1 draw at the Hawthorns. West Brom might be worth taking on at home, as despite being unbeaten so far, they have drawn both home games 1-1. Blackburn have recovered after a poor start, but they were flattered with their win at Hull and drew at home to Cardiff 0-0. It looks to me that West Brom will click sooner rather than later and the home win at 1.83 with a view to trading for your stake back if they lead.
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