Note: (Written 21st December – These stats do not include games played the weekend before Xmas and prices not generally available at the time of writing)
This is a busy period for English football with three games in a week so beware we can get some strange results as fatigue can affect some sides more than others.
Wednesday 26th December 2018
Bristol City v Brentford
Five of the last six meetings were Under 2.5 goals. Brentford have won on their last three visits to Bristol City but have failed to win on the road this season. It is difficult to go with either of these, but Bristol have at least found a little form so perhaps Both Teams To Score will pay off.
Leeds v Blackburn
The last four head to head have all finished 2-1 with Leeds winning three of them including both games last season. Leeds continue to play well, and I cannot see them slipping up here although Blackburn do draw a lot of games. Keep stakes sensible with Leeds to win to nil the shout.
Middlesbrough v Sheff Wed
Middlesbrough have won four and drawn one of the last five meetings although they have won only one of the last four at home, where three of those four games were Under 2.5 goals. Neither are setting the world on fire and 0-0 would not be a big surprise but a small Lay of Middlesbrough with a view to trading may be the answer.
Millwall v Reading
Reading have lost just once on their last six visits to Millwall winning three with two draws. Neither are prolific at winning so a draw looks the obvious shout with correct score trading around 0-0 and 1-1 a possibility.
Norwich v Nottm Forest
Six of the last eight head to head were Over 2.5 goals. Norwich have won three and drawn one of the last four meetings at Carrow Road. This game must have goals so both teams to score is obvious but priced accordingly. Over 3.5 goals with a view to trading is preferred.
Preston v Hull
Only five relevant recent meetings with Preston winning both the home games and Hull winning just the once. Preston are still improving but so are the visitors and I can see this being fairly close so both teams to score is the obvious shout.
Sheff Utd v Derby
Five of the last seven meetings have been Under 2.5 goals with Sheff Utd winning two of the last four home games and one draw. Sheff Utd need to steady the ship at home and so this could be a case of not losing and I think this could well end in a draw so try correct score trades around 1-1 and 2-2.
QPR v Ipswich
QPR have won the last five meetings of the two at Loftus Road by 2-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-0 and 2-0. Ipswich have won only two of the last eight meetings overall but have stopped a run of losses with victory over Wigan. QPR recent games have seen goals so Over 2.5 goals is the call.