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The Championship continues their action to resolve the 2019/20 season and as with the other leagues, it will be a strange atmosphere where some will start quickly and others more cautious.
The second game back and there were a fair few shocks in the first round of games. There will be some exciting games in the nest few weeks, with Promotion and playoff places up for grabs and in theory every team down to Birmingham in 16th place, still have a chance. It is similar at the bottom with every team up to QPR in 13th place still in a relegation fight.
Friday 26th June 2020
Brentford v West Brom
A real six pointer at the top of the table, if Brentford win, they close in on an automatic promotion spot, if West Brom win they will go 11pts clear of Brentford, so they cannot afford to lose. Three recent head to head were all Under 2.5 goals with two ending 1-1. West Brom won 1-0 at Brentford last season and this game is sure to be close. West Brom will be popular at 3.20 here, but I think the play is to Lay Brentford at 2.38 as a trading angle.
Brentford 47% Over 2.5 goals 32% Over 3.5 goals
West Brom 42% Over 2.5 goals 26% Over 3.5 goals
Satuday 27th June 2020
Preston v Cardiff
Preston have won the last two head to head at home by 3-0 but five of seven recent head to head were Under 2.5 goals. Cardiff had a fine win over Leeds whilst Preston were held to a draw at Luton. This could go either way and I think trading 0-0 and 1-1 correct scores might give us the chance to get a green book. It is difficult to see either side running away with the game.
Preston 42% Over 2.5 goals 21% Over 3.5 goals
Cardiff 50% Over 2.5 goals 29% Over 3.5 goals
Birmingham v Hull
Hull find themselves in the relegation places following five successive defeats and need to “buy” a point somewhere. Birmingham have probably bored their way to safety with five draws in six, and it is easy to see this game ending the same way. Seven recent head to head saw four Over and three Under, but it would be a leap of faith to go Over 2.5 goals here, despite the game last season her ending 3-3. With both teams struggling to grab three points, Lay Birmingham at 1.73 as a trading angle.
Birmingham 47% Over 2.5 goals 26% Over 3.5 goals
Hull 63% Over 2.5 goals 32% Over 3.5 goals
Leeds v Fulham
Yet another six-pointer here as second take on third with all to play for and both arrive here off the back of 2-0 defeats, on the opening round of fixtures. Six of the last seven head to head were Under 2.5 goals with ending level, four of them 1-1. It all looks the same again here with Leeds a touch short at 1.70, but I prefer Both Teams To Score at 1.80 as the best value option, as that gives us more “outs”.
Leeds 29% Over 2.5 goals 16% Over 3.5 goals
Fulham 45% Over 2.5 goals 16% Over 3.5 goals
Charlton v QPR
Charlton’s win last week lifted them out of the drop zone as QPR lost at home to Barnsley. The only recent head to head was back in December where they drew 2-2. I wouldn’t want to back either side here, Charlton need another win in their relegation fight, QPR are probably resigned to finishing mid-table. Over 2.5 goals at 1.91 looks a fair option for trading.
Charlton 58% Over 2.5 goals 34% Over 3.5 goals
QPR 63% Over 2.5 goals 42% Over 3.5 goals
Wigan v Blackburn
A North West derby where in recent years the home side has had the advantage in the fixtures. There has been no away win in the last nine overall head to head. Wigan have won the last two meetings today at home by 3-1 and 3-0 and are now unbeaten in seven games in their fight to avoid the drop. Blackburn got back on track for the playoffs with a 3-1 win over Bristol City. On the face of it this game must have goals so the Over 2.5 goals at 2.30 looks a decent trading price.
Wigan 47% Over 2.5 goals 24% Over 3.5 goals
Blackburn 53% Over 2.5 goals 26% Over 3.5 goals
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