Championship Trading Focus: 26th-27th June 2020

Championship Football Betting Guide

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Friday 26^th June 2020

Brentford v West Brom

A real six pointer at the top of the table, if Brentford win, they close in on an automatic promotion spot, if West Brom win they will go 11pts clear of Brentford, so they cannot afford to lose. Three recent head to head were all Under 2.5 goals with two ending 1-1. West Brom won 1-0 at Brentford last season and this game is sure to be close. West Brom will be popular at 3.20 here, but I think the play is to Lay Brentford at 2.38 as a trading angle.

Brentford 47% Over 2.5 goals 32% Over 3.5 goals

West Brom 42% Over 2.5 goals 26% Over 3.5 goals

Satuday 27th June 2020

Preston v Cardiff

Preston have won the last two head to head at home by 3-0 but five of seven recent head to head were Under 2.5 goals. Cardiff had a fine win over Leeds whilst Preston were held to a draw at Luton. This could go either way and I think trading 0-0 and 1-1 correct scores might give us the chance to get a green book. It is difficult to see either side running away with the game.

Preston 42% Over 2.5 goals 21% Over 3.5 goals

Cardiff 50% Over 2.5 goals 29% Over 3.5 goals

Birmingham v Hull

Hull find themselves in the relegation places following five successive defeats and need to “buy” a point somewhere. Birmingham have probably bored their way to safety with five draws in six, and it is easy to see this game ending the same way. Seven recent head to head saw four Over and three Under, but it would be a leap of faith to go Over 2.5 goals here, despite the game last season her ending 3-3. With both teams struggling to grab three points, Lay Birmingham at 1.73 as a trading angle.

Birmingham 47% Over 2.5 goals 26% Over 3.5 goals

Hull 63% Over 2.5 goals 32% Over 3.5 goals

Leeds v Fulham

Yet another six-pointer here as second take on third with all to play for and both arrive here off the back of 2-0 defeats, on the opening round of fixtures. Six of the last seven head to head were Under 2.5 goals with ending level, four of them 1-1. It all looks the same again here with Leeds a touch short at 1.70, but I prefer Both Teams To Score at 1.80 as the best value option, as that gives us more “outs”.

Leeds 29% Over 2.5 goals 16% Over 3.5 goals

Fulham 45% Over 2.5 goals 16% Over 3.5 goals

Charlton v QPR

Charlton’s win last week lifted them out of the drop zone as QPR lost at home to Barnsley. The only recent head to head was back in December where they drew 2-2. I wouldn’t want to back either side here, Charlton need another win in their relegation fight, QPR are probably resigned to finishing mid-table. Over 2.5 goals at 1.91 looks a fair option for trading.

Charlton 58% Over 2.5 goals 34% Over 3.5 goals

QPR 63% Over 2.5 goals 42% Over 3.5 goals

Wigan v Blackburn

A North West derby where in recent years the home side has had the advantage in the fixtures. There has been no away win in the last nine overall head to head. Wigan have won the last two meetings today at home by 3-1 and 3-0 and are now unbeaten in seven games in their fight to avoid the drop. Blackburn got back on track for the playoffs with a 3-1 win over Bristol City. On the face of it this game must have goals so the Over 2.5 goals at 2.30 looks a decent trading price.

Wigan 47% Over 2.5 goals 24% Over 3.5 goals

Blackburn 53% Over 2.5 goals 26% Over 3.5 goals

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