English Championship Trading Focus
Saturday 24th August (written before Wed midweek games)
Derby v West Brom
Both have made a decent start to the season and Derby beat West Brom at the end of last season to make the play-offs, to complete the double. Not a lot should be read into that as both have changed things significantly, both staff and players. West Brom are unbeaten (before Wed) and have looked like title contenders, although there is still a lot of work to do. Derby were beaten in midweek by Bristol City but played ok they just couldn’t come back from two early goals despite creating chances. Tough to call but the game has draw written all over it, but at the prices on offer I would prefer a small lay of Derby at 2.50 with a view to trading.
Blackburn v Cardiff
Blackburn dominated at Hull in midweek and recorded their second 1-0 victory in succession. Cardiff have disappointed so far after a great first half against Wigan on the opening day. They struggled against Reading in defeat and were lucky to beat Luton at home with a late goal. The head to head stats are quite revealing with four of the last six head to head ending 1-1 including the last three encounters at Ewood Park. Cardiff cannot afford to lose here, even at this early stage, so with that in mind, the game could be tight and Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 looks to be the play with a small interest on 1-1 correct score!
Fulham v Nottm Forest
Fulham have won the last three head to head and six of the last eight head to head have been Over 2.5 goals. Whatever way you look at this game it shouts out goals, both teams are back on track after losing their opening games and this could be a cracker. Fulham will be well fancied at home at 1.70 but I prefer Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 as it offers more chances of winning.
Huddersfield v Reading
Huddersfield have already sacked their manager which tells you about their start to the season. Reading have looked like they will leak goals but then stunned Cardiff 3-0 at home. The three most recent head to head were all Under 2.5 goals, nut looking at these two teams I can only see goals. We will take a chance and go against the recent stats and try Over 2.5 goals at 2.10, as there have been plenty of goals in all games involving the two teams this season.
Preston v Sheff Wed
Sheff Wed are three from three and are sitting on top of the league. Preston looked good at home to Wigan but lost their two away games and need to find some consistency. Wednesday are a big price at 3.10 considering the start that they have made, but again we need to look for the best value options and I prefer Over 2.5 goals at 2.10 as a trading option.
QPR v Wigan
This might not be one for the football purists as six of the last eight meetings at this level, have been Under 2.5 goals. Wigan have not won on their last four visits to QPR managing one draw. Both have just one win this season and it is hard to be confident about tipping either side to win, even though Wigan could be a trading option at 4.00. We must stay with the stats and go Under 2.5 goals at 1.91 with a view to trading out for a green book.
Stoke v Leeds
Just the two recent meetings which both ended in home wins, both were Over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in the two games. Leeds are unbeaten so far and have hit the ground running, the opposite has to be said for Stoke who have looked poor and managed just one draw. I have to oppose Stoke until I see signs they are getting better but they are too bog to Lay at 3.50 so we will go with Leeds to win at 2.20 and trade for our stake back if they lead.
Sunday 25th August 2019
Swansea v Birmingham
Swansea are unbeaten so far, winning both home games and drawing at Derby. Birmingham have also won twice with one draw and one defeat. Both recent head to head ended level and that would be no surprise here, so try Both Teams To Score at 1.83.
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