Saturday 22nd December 2018
Blackburn v Norwich
Only four recent meetings at this level and all four were Over 2.5 goals with three of the four Over 3.5 goals. In all four games, both teams scored with Norwich winning three and one ending level. These two have both been in form with Norwich losing just once in seventeen games and none in ten whilst Blackburn have steadied the ship after two losses with a win and two draws. Norwich are probably the strongest side in the Championship and I take them to win with goals. Norwich are backable at 2.30 but Over 2.5 goals is 1.91 and that offers better value.
Derby v Bristol City
The last two meetings at Derby ended level and four of the last six head to head were Over 2.5 goals. Derby had a tough game Monday night managing a draw with local rivals Forest following on from three wins in four games. Bristol City lost four on the trot but have bounced back with two wins and two draws and I think they can frustrate Derby here so a small Lay of the home side at around 2.00 with a view to trading.
Ipswich v Sheff Utd
Four of the last six head to head were Over 2.5 goals and three of the last five meetings at Ipswich ended in draws. Ipswich beat Wigan to end a losing run of four and Sheff Utd are a little hit and miss. I suggest small stakes to trade correct scores 0-0 and 1-1.
Sheff Wed v Preston
Sheff Wed have won the last three head to head meetings at home by 4-1, 2-1 and 3-1 however on current form they would be difficult to recommend with seven defeats in their last ten games. Preston have lost just one in twelve and should win here but I am a little cautious as Wednesday do score goals. Perhaps both teams to score at 1.67 offers us better value.
Wigan v Birmingham
Four of the last six head to head were under with the three most recent meetings at Wigan ending 1-1, 4-0 and 0-0. Both sides have struggled recently, and it is difficult to know who is in the best form. Wigan are strong at home and for that reason I am just going to favour them at 2.38 with a small stake with a view to trading if they lead.
Sunday 23rd December 2018
Aston Villa v Leeds
Only four recent meetings at this level and all four were Under 2.5 goals with the two games at Villa Park ending 1-0 and 1-1. Villa are now unbeaten in seven and Leeds have won their last five games, so we could be in for a cracker. With Villa losing just once at home this season, I think they will take the beating, but Leeds are so organised, that breaking them down is difficult. Both teams to score is at 1.57 which is a little short but highly likely, but a chance is taken with Over 2.5 goals at 1.73.
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