Saturday 1st December 2018
Sheff Utd v Leeds
The recent head to head in Sheffield ended 2-1, 2-0, 1-1 and 2-0 with the overall head to head in eight recent meetings in favour of Sheff Utd who won five and drew two. Leeds have lost only three all season so even though they have a poor record against the Blades, they must be seriously considered here. After a thumping at West Brom, they have bounced back with two wins and shown that they are genuine title contenders. This is a tough one to call and I could see it going either way so perhaps the best call is to stay with the draw or take both teams to score at 1.66.
Birmingham v Preston
Preston have a good record in the head to head in Birmingham with the most recent matches ending 1-3, 2-2, 2-2 and 1-2. The overall head to head in the last seven meetings saw both teams score in all and in five of those the Over 2.5 goals was a winner. I can see goals again here and Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 looks a fair option.
Derby v Swansea
Three recent head to head in Derby ended 2-1, 0-1 and 2-2 so no stand out clues there and in the six recent overall head to head there were three draws and only one Derby win. Swansea have lost four of their last seven games whilst Derby have lost just once in eight games with four wins. I can’t take Derby at 1.80 even though they should win as the price is not great value so Over 2.5 goals at 1.91 is a tentative selection.
Nottm Forest v Ipswich
The head to head in Nottingham between these two ended 2-1, 3-0, 1-1, 2-2 and 0-0 and with the form of Ipswich at present, this should be a home banker. The overall head to head has seen four of the last ten meetings ending level with three wins apiece and five Overs and five Unders. Forest have only lost twice this season and only once in their last twelve but Ipswich have won only once all season and lost four of their last six. It must be a home win and 1.66 is a fair price for Forest with a view to taking your stake back if they take the lead.
QPR v Hull
In four recent head to head, three were Over 2.5 goals and Hull won two and drew one. Neither side are consistent enough to merit backing them although QPR do seem to have steadied their season with just one loss in nine games and Hull have lost just one of their last five. This game could easily end as a draw but I feel their could be goals and we could take 1-1 and 2-2 correct scores to trade that market with a hope of getting a green book all around.
Middlesbrough v Aston Villa
Four recent head to head in the Championship including a two-leg play-off all ended Under 2.5 goals and all under 1.5 goals with two 0-0 draws. The stats suggest a borefest here but both sides have been involved in games with goals in recent weeks so we may get a decent price on goals and Over 2.5 goals at 2.20 is worth considering. I just prefer both teams to score at 1.91 as slightly better value.