Championship Trading Focus: 15th-16th Sept 2018

Championship football tips

We are back with more Championship action this weekend. Our trading team take a look at the best of the action.

Friday 14th September

Birmingham v West Brom

No recent meetings at this level but the two did meet in the FA Cup in 2015 where West Brom won 2-1 away from home. West Brom seem to have found their feet and are scoring goals which suggests problems for the home side who have yet to hit top gear and who have drawn their three home games. Laying the home side may be the best option here at around 3.35 with a view to trading out if West Brom lead and leaving the profit on the away win.

Saturday 15th September

Bristol City v Sheff Utd

Two recent meetings both ended with away wins and both were Over 2.5 goals. In fact the last five meetings in all divisions were Over 2.5 goals and both teams had 4-1 victories in their last games before the break. All six Sheff Utd games this season have gone Over 2.5 goals with three of Bristol’s six games doing the same although Bristol have scored in five of the six. At 1.91 it must be the sensible move to go with Over 2.5 goals.

Hull v Ipswich

Hull have won one of six with Ipswich not winning any so far but managing three draws. Ipswich have a poor record against Hull with no wins in the last ten meetings and just three draws. The four most recent games between the two at Hull were all over 2.5 goals but it is difficult to imagine this game being end to end attacking football. The 2.20 on offer for Hull hardly appeals but I feel is the most likely result so we need to look elsewhere and perhaps trading the correct scores of 1-0 and 1-1 with a view to greening up, is the way to go.

 Millwall v Leeds

Millwall have won the last four meetings at home by 1-0, 2-0, 2-0 and 1-0. In twelve recent meetings there have been no draws so that may be perfect for those of you who like to Lay the Draw. Leeds are in top form so taking a Millwall side at 3.00 who have lost their last three, to beat a side who are unbeaten in their six games, is risky. Leeds has to be the shout until they show any signs of vulnerability and 2.50 fairly represents their chances. 

Norwich v Middlesbrough

A game that suggests goals but the stats show completely the opposite. In six of the last seven meetings, including a play-off final, only one has gone over and in the last three meetings in Norwich, the games have ended 1-0, 0-1 and 1-0. With Overs/Unders being far too risky I think a Lay of Norwich at around 2.80 with a view to trading if Middlesbrough lead or if the sides are level with around fifteen minutes left to play, should pay dividends.

 

Note: Odds are subject to change.

 

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