Bundesliga Trading Focus: 8th-10th Feb19

Mainz v Leverkusen

Leverkusen stunned Bayern last weekend and have now won four of their last five, including their last two away matches. Mainz are comfortable in mid-table and they seem to play without a care in the world, although they were poor against Augsburg last week. In the last eight head to head, there have ben no draws so Lay the Draw as a trading option is a possibility. The last five head to head in Mainz have all gone Over 3.5 goals and that is worth a trade at 2.60 and trade out if two early goals.

Dortmund v Hoffenheim

Dortmund were held to a draw last week by a decent Frankfurt side, but they increased their lead at the top when Bayern lost at Leverkusen. They look likely champions and their strength at home should see them achieve their aims. Hoffenheim got back to their “usual” with a draw at home to Dusseldorf, their seventh draw in nine games. They have lost just two away this season but have lost on their last five visits to Dortmund, although they did score in four of those five and they have scored in their last nine away. Over 3.5 goals is odds on so no value and the best option may be to just back Dortmund at 1.61.

Freiburg v Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg are on a decent run with four wins in six and six in the last nine. They have won four of their last five away games and visit a Freiburg side who are struggling to win, just one in their last six. In recent head to heads, five of the last seven ended with away wins, and there were no draws. A small lay of Freiburg at 3.00 as a trading option.

Bayern Munich v Schalke

Bayern may already be too far behind a strong Dortmund team and have to win every game from now on in to have a slight chance of the title. Schalke are so frustrating and are much better than what they have shown but at least they are unbeaten in their last four away. The problem we have here is that they are usually hopeless against Bayern, in the last sixteen meetings today, they have lost thirteen and drawn three, although two of the draws did come away. Try Bayern to win and both teams to score at 2.40.

Borussia M’gladbach v Hertha Berlin

A fixture that usually produces goals with nine of the last ten meetings today going Over 2.5 goals and with Gladbach winning the five meetings today at home. They have won four of their last five losing only to Dortmund and right now are battling with Bayern for second place. They have won all nine at home, scoring in each game and this looks a banker home win. Hertha have won two of their last four away and have scored in nine of ten away. Over 2.5 goals at 1.73.

Werder Bremen v Augsburg

Bremen have steadied the ship a little and after a poor spell have now lost just one in their last five. Augsburg have lost three of their last four but did beat Mainz 3-0 last week, their first win since October. They have also won just twice on the road, at Dusseldorf and at Hannover who both have had problems. Bremen do score goals, at least once in their last twenty games but they also concede, in nine of ten at home. With the last ten meetings today going Over 2.5 goals, that looks the way to go here at 1.67.