Bundesliga Trading Focus: 26th-28th Oct 2018

Bundesliga Free Football Trading Tips

Andy

Friday 26th October 2018

Freiburg v Moenchengladbach

This is a fixture with a strong statistic in that there has been no away win in the last twenty meetings today between the two. Gladbach are second in the league and easily disposed of Mainz last week and won at Bayern on their last away trip. They do not have a good record here however as they have not won on their last five visits, managing just one draw. Three of the last four head to head have gone Over 2.5 goals and that looks the best option here at around 1.73 although it might be worth waiting ten minutes into the game to get a better price as there have been only three first half goals in the four Freiburg home games this season.

Saturday 27th October 2018

Dortmund v Hertha Berlin

Dortmund have won three of the last four meetings today in Dortmund and look too strong here for a decent Hertha side who might just lack a touch of class. That said, they will not be overawed and could keep the game tight and with four of the last five head being Under 2.5 goals, that looks the obvious call at 2.50. I prefer to leave the game alone as I don’t play the Unders market.  

Hannover v Augsburg

Augsburg know how to frustrate teams and have played well on the road this season getting a point in Munich and going down 4-3 at Dortmund to a 96th minute winner. This is far easier and with four of the last five head to heads ending in away wins, Augsburg at 2.80 are worth a bet. As Hannover have improved slightly of late, it might be worth trading for your stake back if Augsburg lead.

Mainz v Bayern Munich

Bayern look as though they may be back in form and as they have won their last six head to head here, they cannot seriously be opposed. As they cannot be backed to win at 1.25, the options involve Over 2.5 goals at 1.50 (six of the last eight head to head were Over) or my preferred option of trading around 0-2 and 0-3 on the correct score market.

Hoffenheim v Stuttgart

Hoffenheim really should be winning this as they start to recover from an awful start to the season but whether they should be 1.60, even against Stuttgart, is debatable. Stuttgart have managed just one win this season and struggle to score goals, so you could consider Hoffenheim to win to nil at 3.00 but Hoffenheim concede goals which puts me off. Three of the last four head to head in Hoffenheim were Over 2.5 goals so that is an option at 1.50 and that appeals more than Both teams to score at around the same price.

 

Sunday 28th October 2018

RB Leipzig v Schalke

The two have met just four times and Leipzig won both the games at home and with the form that Schalke are in, that trend should continue. Schalke have won two and lost six of their eight games with the problem being in front of goal, only five scored this season. Leipzig lost on the opening day but have been unbeaten since and had scored in every game until last weekend’s 0-0 draw.  Leipzig at 2.00 is a reasonable price, perhaps the bookies have factored in that Schalke will come good at some point

Werder Bremen v Leverkusen

Bremen are probably the surprise of the season so far winning five of their eight games with one loss, unbelievably against Stuttgart. They have scored in every game so far and won away at Schalke last weekend. They are also unbeaten at home. Leverkusen have had an in and out season but managed just the two wins and as they have only won once on their last five visits here, Bremen must be fancied to win. Keep it simple and bet Bremen to win at 2.40 and trade for your stake back if they lead.

Note: Odds are subject to change

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