Bundesliga Trading Focus (16th-17th June 2020)

Bundesliga Football Tips

Tuesday 16th June 2020

Werder Bremen v Bayern Munich

Bremen may as well not turn up as Bayern have won the last eighteen meetings. The one hope that Bremen have is that they do not get beaten as heavily at home. Eight of the last nine meetings in Munich were Over 4.5 goals and Bayern scored six in four of them. In the last eight games in Bremen, six were Under 3.5 goals, although in one game Bayern won 7-0. We could chance Bremen +2 on the handicap at 2.60 as that would have been successful in the last four games between the two in Bremen.

Bremen 67% Over 2.5 goals   43% Over 3.5 goals

Bayern Munich 80% Over 2.5 goals   63% Over 3.5 goals

No resumption stats as weekend games yet to take place.

Moenchengladbach v Wolfsburg

Seven of the last eight head to head were over 2.5 goals. Wolfsburg have won five of the last eight meetings with two draws. They have won on two of their last three trips to Gladbach. With those stats, we must take a look at Wolfsburg, especially as they have won their last three away, although 3.40 is not huge value. Gladbach are in mixed form and not at the top of their game and the pressure is building, so a Lay to trade of the home side at 2.00 may be the way here.

Moenchengladbach 67% Over 2.5 goals   43% Over 3.5 goals

Wolfsburg 47% Over 2.5 goals   23% Over 3.5 goals

No resumption stats as weekend games yet to take place.

 

Freiburg v Hertha Berlin

Five of the last eight games between the two were Under 2.5 goals and there were three draws in the last five of those games. The games in Freiburg were slightly different, three of the last five games were Over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in all five. Hertha are on top form and it is easy to see them winning here, and 2.30 looks a fair price against a side who have won one in five and not looked convincing since the resumption.

Freiburg 50% Over 2.5 goals   30% Over 3.5 goals

Hertha Berlin 73% Over 2.5 goals   47% Over 3.5 goals

No resumption stats as weekend games yet to take place.

 

Wednesday 17th June 2020

Frankfurt v Schalke

Frankfurt have won four and drawn two of the last eight meetings. The last four games in Frankfurt have seen two home wins and two draws. Schalke are shocking and probably the team everyone wants to play at present. Schalke have not won in their last twelve and although Frankfurt had not looked impressive after the break, they have at least won two of their last three. Under 2.5 goals at 2.00 looks the best trading angle.

Frankfurt 77% Over 2.5 goals   40% Over 3.5 goals

Schalke 57% Over 2.5 goals   27% Over 3.5 goals

No resumption stats as weekend games yet to take place.

 

Leverkusen v Koln

A local derby and Leverkusen need the three points. The last four head to head at Leverkusen were all Over 2.5 goals, but the last eight head to head overall saw five games Under 2.5 goals. Leverkusen have only won two of those last eight meetings. This game must have goals, or at least put us in a good trading position with early goals so Over 3.5 goals at 2.20 looks a fair trading angle.

Leverkusen 63% Over 2.5 goals   40% Over 3.5 goals

Koln 73% Over 2.5 goals   50% Over 3.5 goals

No resumption stats as weekend games yet to take place.

 

Augsburg v Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim have won their last four games in Augsburg. Four of the last five and seven of the last ten overall head to head were Over 2.5 goals. As expected, Hoffenheim were seen off by Leipzig, but they are unbeaten away since the restart and Augsburg have only managed two home goals in that period. With such a good record for Hoffenheim here, the percentage play here is to Lay Augsburg at 2.60

Augsburg 60% Over 2.5 goals   37% Over 3.5 goals

Hoffenheim 61% Over 2.5 goals   29% Over 3.5 goals

No resumption stats as weekend games yet to take place.

 

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