At the time of writing (26th March 2020) we don’t totally know what is going to happen to the 2019/20 Premier League season, but as the days tick by it’s looking increasing unlikely that there is going to be an easy resolution to conclude the Premier League season.
As we all know, Liverpool were 25 points clear of Man City when the FA pulled the plug on the season continuing – yes, they still had 9 games to play, but it would have been one of the biggest shocks in sporting history had they fluffed their lines had the season been allowed to play out in it’s normal fashion.
We’ll have to see what the FA do in terms of settling the 2019/20 Premier League season – there are so many outcomes. Crown Liverpool champions, despite still having 9 games to play, void the whole season, play the remaining games at the start of next season (providing they can!) etc etc etc – the list goes on.
Plus, it’s not only the teams at the top of the table that are impacted – it’s the sides fighting out one of the lucrative Champions League places, plus the teams at the bottom that could be relegated. Add in the sides at the head of the Championship too – looking to make the leap into the cash-rich English top-flight, then many teams can have a case for feeling hard done by if the season is voided.
When the Premier League was paused in March – Liverpool, were of course top, but it was Man City (2nd), Leicester (3rd) and Chelsea (4th), while the likes of Man Utd (5th), Wolves (6th), Sheff Utd (7th), Spurs (8th) and Arsenal (9th) still had claims for European slots.
At the other end of the table, teams like Norwich (20th), A Villa (19th) and Bournemouth (18th), who were all in the relegation places (bottom three) when the league stopped in March would be the big winners if the Premier League season was voided. We all know the amount of money teams get for just being in the English top-flight, so a reprieve from the drop would be a huge bonus, while the likes of Watford (17th), West Ham (16th) and Brighton (15th) – who were all also not far off the drop zones would be the other sides possibly hoping for no more 2019/20 league games to be played!
How The 2019-20 Premier League Table Looked Before It Was Paused
(Click to enlarge)
2020-21 Premier League Outright Betting
So, what does the betting look like ahead of next season in the Premier League? Well, it has a very similar feel to it to when the season stopped.
Liverpool are still most bookies favourites to win the 2020/21 Premier League title at around 1.83 in the betting, with Man City, who won the title in 2017-18 and 2018-19, next best around 2.25.
Therefore, the betting very much has a ‘two-horse race’ feel to it. We can expect Man City to strengthen-up a fair bit during the transfer window in the summer as they look to close the 25 point gap they found themselves behind Liverpool when the season paused in March.
Liverpool, also can’t afford to sit still as they will be aware that they were starting to have a little wobble before the season was stopped. The lost to Watford in the league, plus crashed out of the FA Cup to Chelsea and then went out of the Champions League with a two-legged defeat against Atletico Madrid.
Next best in the Premier League outright betting market are Manchester United at 29.00 – the red side of Manchester were showing signs they were in a slight upward curve at the end of the 2019-20 season so of those at bigger prices they might attract some interest. However, you still feel they are a few seasons away from challenging the likes of Liverpool and Man City again for the title.
Chelsea are next at 34.00 and they’ve certainly got some promising young talent coming through the ranks – but the same might apply to them, as they might need a few more campaigns to hit top gear when tacking the main teams in the division.
Tottenham seem to have fallen off the pace and there is a chance that Harry Kane might not even with them next season – they are 34.00, but really in their current shape I can’t see them getting anywhere near winning the title, unless the ‘Special One (Jose Mourhino) works some serious magic.
Arsenal and Leicester are 51.00 in the betting, while it’s pretty much name your price for the rest!
Overall, it would be a huge shock if Liverpool and Man City aren’t fighting the 2020-21 Premier League season out again. Yes, Liverpool will be wanting to make amends if the 2019-20 season is wiped, but let’s not forget they were still 25 points superior to the rest and that’s a huge gulf for the other sides to make up.
Okay, Man City will re-build, but their star striker Sergio Aguero isn’t getting any younger (he’ll be 32 at the start of next season). I think they underestimated the loss of Vincent Kompany leaving them at the end of the 2018-19 season and have lacked a real leader since – Pep is sure to be in the market looking for a player of a similar profile, but they are not easy to find.
We can expect Liverpool to entice a few extra players in to strengthen their already strong squad so the safe bet is to stick with Klopp’s men getting over the line this time.
Of the rest, Chelsea and Man Utd are the two teams I expect improvement from with a decent crop of young players coming through, while the likes of Arsenal and Spurs look on the downward curve to me and need a lot more based on what we saw last term.
BEST BET: LIVERPOOL : @1.83
PREMIER LEAGUE – LAST 16 WINNERS
2018-19: MANCHESTER CITY
2017-18: MANCHESTER CITY
2015-16: LEICESTER CITY
2013-14: MANCHESTER CITY
2012-13: MANCHESTER UNITED
2011-12: MANCHESTER CITY
2010-11: MANCHESTER UNITED
2008-09: MANCHESTER UNITED
2007-08: MANCHESTER UNITED
2006-07: MANCHESTER UNITED
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