The Single Most Toxic Thing You Can Do Trading After 3 Losing Markets
The JuiceStorm team built TradeHost for profitable automated trading and betting on Betfair in the UK, IE, AU and US horse racing markets. TradeHost Lite started in 2013 and is free forever.
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One of the hardest things to do in trading is to win after losing.
A losing streak can be triggered by a number of factors. Bad trade selection. Bad luck. Bad market environment.
Unfortunately in their eagerness to “make it back” most traders usually make it worse. Typically after two or three losing trades the urge to win overtakes the ability to think calmly and collectively and a wild orgy of stop losses follows.
Despite working in similar markets for twenty years I still fall victim to these problems, especially when I experiment with new setups. But I learned to curb my worst instincts and correct my behaviour before doing real damage to the account. In short, I learned how to win after losing.
Marty Scwartz, the famed trader who wrote Pit Bull had a great saying. “You have to pass through neutral before you can go forward from reverse.” Marty always believed that the first thing you must do after losing is just stop. He was a great believer in pulling yourself away from the screen. Stopping to him meant physical separation from the market. In trading, winners never quit but they frequently stop and pause.
The single most toxic thing you can do after 3 or 4 losers in a row is to keep on trading. At that point your chances of winning are better in Ladbrokes FOBTs than on Betfair. Much better to step away from the screen, go for a walk, have an espresso, read a book and come back next day rested and relaxed.
Why not just fight through it?
Trade until you get your groove back? Because inevitably you turn to impulsive trading and move away from the well thought out, well tested disciplined approach of our trading plan. In pursuit of “getting it back” we quickly abandon our rules. I can get sloppy, then angry, then obsessed and before I know it I’ll drop 10% of my account in one day. Fortunately, it doesn’t happen too often these days.
I walk away.
In 2021 TradeHost traded 7,937 Betfair UK, IE, US & AU horse racing and greyhound markets.
2022 saw TradeHost become even more profitable with 22,698 Betfair markets traded.
2023 less markets were traded – 17,459 – but a with a similar profit to 2022.
All trades and bets were streamed live on JuiceStorm TV which was was watched by 124,209 traders in 2022.
All results for the 48,094 Betfair markets traded are here and the charts are here.
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