Royal Ascot Tips and Trends: DAY TWO (Weds 19th June 2019)

2019 Royal Ascot Tips and Trends

ROYAL ASCOT continues on Wednesday 19th June with another bumper six-race card to look forward too that includes the Jersey and Queen Mary Stakes, but the clear highlight on DAY TWO is the Group One Prince Of Wales’s Stakes – did you know 16 of the last 17 winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old?

More Royal Ascot 2019 Coverage

Check out our Royal Ascot 2019 Category for more Ascot Action including:

  • Trading Focus: 2019 Royal Ascot
  • 2019 Royal Ascot Top Trainer And Jockey Betting Guide
  • Royal Ascot 2019 – Bankers Or Blowouts?
  • Royal Ascot Tips And Trends: DAY ONE through FIVE

So, like all big race days here at JuiceStorm we’ve got it all covered with key trends and stats, plus our free tips (to be added once final runners are out) – use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.


2019 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

2.30 – Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2018 – Signora Cabello (25/1)
2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

Queen Mary Stakes Trends

16/17 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/17 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
15/17 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
15/17 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
14/17 – Won their previous race
11/17 – Placed favourites
7/17 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
6/17 – Returned a double-figure price
3/17 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 2 of last 4 runnings)
2/17 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon

JUICESTORM VERDICT: US handler – Wesley Ward – has loved to target this race in recent years – winning two of the last four – so his KIMARI is sure to be popular. This speedy filly won on debut at Keenland over 4 ½ furlongs back in April by 15 lengths so could be anything. Yes, the form of that is hard to translate but she showed a lot of pace that day and could easily have the rest in trouble after a few furlongs. Any further rain might be a worry, but the yard probably had a fair few to pick from for this race so the fact they’ve sent her speaks volumes. Ward also has Anna’s Fast in the race – who also won over 4 ½ furlongs at Keenland on debut, but Kimari’s time was over a second quicker. Of the rest, Good Vibes and Flippa The Strippa have been impressive in winning both their last two races and bring a lot more experience (3 runs) to the table. The Charlie Appleby yard boasts a 33% record with their 2 year-olds here so his DIVINE SPIRIT and THEORY OF TIME are others to consider. Both won well on their debuts at Windsor last month and look the sorts to progress further with that experience under their belts. Aiden O’Brien runs Love Bracelet and Tango, so any support for these in the betting should be noted, while the Hannon yard have also done well in the race in the past and run Kimble and Partridge.


3.05 – Queen´s Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m

Queen´s Vase Recent Winners

2018 – Kew Gardens (10/3)
2017 – Stradivarius (11/2)
2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)

Queen´s Vase Key Trends

14/16 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/16 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
11/16 – Placed last time out
9/16 – Placed favourites
11/16 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
6/16 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
6/16 – Winning favourites
5/16 – Trained by Mark Johnston
6/16 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/16 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all)
2/16 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
No winner from stall 1 in the last 13 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 12 runnings (4 wins)
12 of the last 13 winners came from a single-figure stall
6 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7 or 8

JUICESTORM VERDICT: The Mark Johnston and Aidan O’Brien yards have won this race a staggering 11 times between them in the last 16 years. With that in mind the Johnston runners – Themaxwecan and NAYEF ROAD (e/w) – are certainly worth a second glance. The last-named is rated to go well and looks the sort to improve for this step up to 1m6f after looking a tad outpaced over 1m2f the last twice. The boys in blue of Godolphin have a fair hand too with Moonlight Spirit and Jalmoud – the latter looks their main hope after winning well the last twice at HQ and Longchamp. But it’s still hard to get away from the O’Brien record in the race. He runs four again this year – Barbados, Harpo Max, Norway and WESTERN AUSTRALIA. Of that bunch, Norway was 8th in the Derby and should find this slight drop in grade easier, but Western Australia has at least won over this 1m5f trip and could have more to come. He won a Listed event over 1m5f last time out at Navan but also showed a good level of form as a 2 year-old – including a close third in the Vertum Futurity Stakes at Doncaster.

3.40 – The Prince of Wales´s Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Recent Winners

2018 – Poet’s Word (11/2)
2017 – Highland Reel (9/4)
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 – Grandera (4/1)

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Trends

17/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/17 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
16/17 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
14/17 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
14/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
13/17 – Were previous Group 1 winners
11/17 – Placed favourites
9/17 – Won their last race
9/17 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
9/17 – Had run at Ascot before
6/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/17 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
2/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3 of the last 11 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse

JUICESTORM VERDICT: A cracking renewal. The consistent CRYSTAL OCEAN (e/w) is a good place to start – he won the Hardwicke Stakes last season at this meeting and went onto be a close runner-up in the King George. He’s as good over this trip or 1m4f so connections are sure to make full use of his stamina and Frankie Dettori has been booked with Ryan Moore having to ride for O’Brien. This 5 year-old has never finished out of the top three from his 14 career runs, while his record at Ascot reads 3-1-2-2. He’s the top-rated in the field, but does have to give 3lbs away to the likes of Magical and Sea Of Class, so it won’t be easy. The later was last seen running second in the Arc last October and she’s sure to be well tuned-up for this first turn back – a big player, but will the lack of a recent run find her out? On the other hand, Magical has won three times this season already and is unbeaten over this trip. Her form is closely-matched with Sea Of Class and is also 1-from-1 here at Ascot. O’Brien has won this race twice since 2012 too, so it’s hard to not see her getting involved too. Of the rest, the French runner – Waldgeist – certainly has the form to go well too and returned with a smooth win at Longchamp back in April. It will be a shock if the winner isn’t coming from one of the four mentioned.


4.20 – The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2018 – Aljazzi (9/2)
2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

Duke of Cambridge Trends

14/15 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
14/15 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
14/15 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
13/15 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/15 – Won by a 4 year-old
11/15 – Had run at Ascot before
8/15 – Favourites that were placed
7/15 – Had won at Ascot before
5/15 – Returned a double-figure price
5/15 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/15 – Ran at Epsom last time out
4/15 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
2/15 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/15 – Winners from stall 1
Only four placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings

JUICESTORM VERDICT: Over the years this has been a race the Cheveley Park Stud owners have loved to target – therefore their runners – PREENING (e/w) and VERACIOUS (e/w)look the ones to focus on. The former hails from the James Fanshawe yard that have won this race twice in the last 15 years too and should be a lot fitter for a recent second at Kempton. She’s a bit to find on the ratings, but has run well at the track before and might have more to come. Veracious was third to Anna Nerium, who also lines-up here, last time at Epsom but this slightly shorter trip and more conventual track will suit. She was third in the Group One Coronation Stakes at the meeting 12 months ago too so has tasted this big occasion before. Of the rest, the O’Brien-trained I Can Fly will be popular but with just one win from his last seven then he’s not been an easy horse to catch right. The consistent Pretty Baby and the Stoute-runner Rawdaa are others to note. The last-named will be popular with Frankie booked and has some solid form this season to her name already, including a close second to Lah Ti Dar at York last time out. But the other that might be worth an interest is the Ed Walker runner – AGROTERA. This 4 year-old beat Preening last time out on her return run at Kempton, but more importantly is a CD winner at this meeting after winning the Sandringham Stakes easily 12 months ago. She’s clearly had this race as a target since and deserves to take her chance in this higher grade for the first time – her track form 2-1 makes her very interesting.


5.00 – Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners

2018 – Settle For Bay (16/1)
2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1)
2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)

Royal Hunt Cup Trends

16/17 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/17 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
13/17 – Unplaced favourites
13/17 – Returned a double-figure price
13/17 – Carried 9-1 or less
10/17 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
10/17 – Had run at Ascot before
10/17 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 8 of the last 10 runnings)
5/17 – Won their last race
2/17 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/17 – Won by trainer John Gosden
1/17 – Winning favourites
Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years
11 of the last 13 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 10 runnings

JUICESTORM VERDICT: 30 runners heading to post here, so one of the hardest races to solve at the meeting. However, with 11 of the last 13 winners coming from double-figure draws then this is certainly a key stat. With that in mind one of the leading fancies – New Graduate – who is drawn in stall 1 will have this to overcome – as will the likes of Beringer, Kynren, So Beloved, Comin’Through, Roc Angel, Settle For Bay, who won this race last year, Mitchum Swagger and Chilean. The Harry Dunlop-trained Robin Of Navan should find this drop in grade more to his liking and from draw 15 will have options – Oisin Murphy is a good jockey booking. Ryan Moore being booked to ride the Queen’s Seniority is certainly another to have respect for. This 5 year-old has a good draw in 27 and ran well on his return run last time at Epsom (2nd). Raising Sands and Circus Couture often go well in these big-field handicaps, while CD winner Zwayyan can’t be ruled out from a high draw either, but the three interesting ones for me are PETRUS, STYLEHUNTER and KEY VICTORY. The first-named – Petrus – was a fair fourth last time out off this mark in a similar race and has experience of this meeting when 12th (of 30) in the Britannia Stakes last season. Key Victory has been gelded since it’s last run, but this Godolphin runner was sixth in the Hampton Court Stakes here last season so will find this drop from Group Three company much easier. He’s gone well fresh in the past too so the 111 day break isn’t too much of a worry, and draw 17 looks ideal. Finally, Stylehunter represents the John Gosden yard that have a fine record in this race. This 4 year-old will strip much fitter for a recent 5th (of 7) at Newmarket, but after pulling hard that day the drop back to a mile will help as they will go much more of a gallop here.


5.35 – Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f

Windsor Castle Recent Winners

2018 – Soldier’s Call (12/1)
2017 – Sound And Silence (16/1)
2016 – Ardad (20/1)
2015 – Washington DC (5/1)
2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav)
2013 –
Extortionist (16/1)
2012 – Hototo (14/1)
2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav)
2010 – Marine Commando (9/2)
2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1)
2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1)
2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1)
2006 – Elhamri (20/1)
2005 – Titus Alone (11/4)
2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1)
2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav)
2002 – Revenue (14/1)

Windsor Castle Trends

17/17 – Had at least 1 previous outing
16/17 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
16/17 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
14/17 – Had won over 5f before
12/17 – Placed last time out
12/17 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/17 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
9/17 – Won their previous race
9/17 – Unplaced favourites
7/17 – Won by a Feb foal
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Trained by Wesley Ward
Just one horse placed from stall 1 in the last 11 runnings
8 of the last 11 winners came from a double-figure stall

JUICESTORM VERDICT: Another race the US-handler, Wesley Ward, has done well in recently. He runs both Foolish Humour and Karak so we can expect them both to be popular in the betting. The pair won on their debuts in their homeland and look speedy sorts, but that form is hard to translate – the market will be the best guide on their chances. But with 8 of the last 11 winners coming from a double-figure stall then Karak gets the nod of the Ward pair. Trainers Aidan O’Brien and Saeed Bin Suroor have good records with this 2 year-olds here so their runners – SOUTHERN HILLS and PLATINUM STAR – get the nod. The former is coming to hand after an improved second at Navan last time out and only just got collared late on. Draw 24 looks ideal and with the expected improvement he can go well. Platinum Star got off the mark at the second attempt at Leicester last time and even though the drop back in trip might not be ideal the stiff Ascot track should help – he should be finishing off well, but will just need to keep tabs on them during the first half of the race. Dylan De Vega might be popular too, but the Richard Fahey yard are just 1 from 28 with their 2 year-olds here. Of the rest, Keith Dalgleish has his horses in good order so his Glasvegas might go well at a nice price, while Frankie catches the eye riding for Mark Johnston – Iffraaz.


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