Free Horse Racing Tips and Trends: Sat 4th June 2022
Epsom racing tips and trends
- Saturday Horse Racing Trends and Free Tips: 1st Oct 2022 - September 30, 2022
- 2022 Ayr Gold Cup Betting Trends & Free Tips - September 11, 2022
- Saturday TV Trends and Tips: 17th Sept 22 - September 11, 2022
It’s Derby Day at Epsom Racecourse this weekend and like every Saturday we’ve got all the LIVE ITV races covered from a trends and stats angle, plus our free tips on each contest.
Did you know that 18 of the last 20 Epsom Derby winners had finished 1st or 2nd in their last race, while 13 of the last 20 Derby winners came from a single-figure stall?
Supporting the big race, we’ve got four more LIVE races to take in that include the Epsom Dash, which is run over one of the quickest 5f courses in the world – blink and you’ll miss it!
Here at JUICESTORM we’ve got the LIVE ITV races – including the Epsom Derby – covered with key trends to help find the best profiles or previous winners, plus our quickfire tips.
EPSOM Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)
2.00 – Cazoo Handicap Cl2 1m2f18y ITV
19/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/19 – Never run at Epsom before
17/19 – Had won over 1m before (6 over 1m2f)
13/19 – Winners from stall 5 or higher
12/19 – Placed last time out
12/19 – Carried 8-10 or more
11/19 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/19 – Favourites that were placed
8/19 – Horses placed from stall 1
6/19 – Won their previous race
3/19 – Winners from stall 1
3/19 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/19 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
3/19 – Won by trainer Sylvester Kirk
2/19 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of the last 4)
Stall 2 has just 3 places (1 win) to its name in the last 19 runnings
JUICESTORM BEST BET: NOLTONS CROSS
JUICESTORM DANGER: BLUE TRIAL
2.35 – Princess Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Investec) (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m114y ITV
19/19 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
19/19 – Had won at Listed or Group 3 class before
16/19 – Favourites placed
15/19 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
15/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
14/19 – Had won over at least a mile before
14/19 – Finished in the top three last time out
14/19 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
13/19 – Had won between 4-6 times before
11/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
9/19 – Winning favourites
9/19 – Had raced at Epsom before
9/19 – Drawn in either stall 5 or 6
8/19 – Won last time out
6/19 – Raced at Goodwood last time out
4/19 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/19 – Won by a Cheveley Park-owned horse
2/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/19 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/19 – Trained by Roger Charlton
Jockeys Silvestre de Sousa (2), James Doyle (3) and Frankie Dettori (3) have won 8 of the last 12 runnings
Godolphin have won 4 of the last 12 runnings
JUICESTORM BEST BET: MRS FITZHERBERT
JUICESTORM DANGER: BASHKIROVA
3.10 – CAZOO Diomed Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 1m 114y ITV
18/18 – Had won over at least a mile before
16/18 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
16/18 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
15/18 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
15/18 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
14/18 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
14/18 – Had won at least 4 times before
13/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Aged 5 or older
12/18 – Had raced at Epsom before
9/18 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/18 – Won last time out
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Trained by Andrew Balding
3/18 – Ridden by William Buick
2/18 – Trained by the Crisford stable
JUICESTORM BEST BET: MODERN NEWS
JUICESTORM DANGER: MUTASAABEQ
3.45 – Simpex Express “Dash” (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 5f ITV
Epsom Dash Betting Trends and Stats
18/19 – Didn’t win last time out
17/19 – Raced within the last 6 weeks (13 within the last 4 weeks)
15/19 – Won by horses aged between 5 and 8 years-old (inc)
15/19– Unplaced favourites
14/19 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
14/19 – Came from stall 8 or higher
12/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
12/19 – Had raced at Epsom previously (5 had won)
5/19 – Horses from stall 1 that hit the frame
1/19 – Winning favourites
Mokaatil won the race in 2021
Duke Of Firenze won this race in 2013
JUICESTORM BEST BET: MOKAATIL
JUICESTORM DANGER: THEGREATESTSHOWMAN
4.30 – Cazoo Derby (In Memory Of Lester Piggott)(Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m4f10y ITV
Epsom Derby Betting Trends and Stats
19/20 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
18/20 – Raced no more than 5 times before
18/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/20 – Had won a Group race before
16/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
14/20 – Had run over at least 1m2f before
13/20 – Won last time out
13/20 – Won from a single-figure stall
12/20 – Favourites that were placed
11/20 – Had raced no more than 3 times before
10/20 – Irish-trained winners
8/20 – Had won a Group One before
7/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (won 8 in all)
6/20 – Won by the favourite
5/20 – Ran in the 2,000 Guineas that season (2 winners)
4/20 – Won the Dante Stakes (York) last time out
4/20 – Winners from stall 12 or higher
3/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won 5 in all)
2/20 – Won over 1m4f before
1/20 – Winners from stall 1 (Adayar)
0/20 – Run at the course before
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 8/1
10 Dante winners went onto win the Derby (Golden Horn, 2015 being the most-recent)
Only 1 horse that was beaten in the Dante (Workforce) went onto win the Derby
Epsom Derby Trainer Stats
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 2010, 2004, 2003, 1986 & 1981
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 2002, 2001, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018 and 2020
JUICESTORM BEST BET: DESERT CROWN
JUICESTORM DANGER: NATIONS PRIDE