2022 Epsom Oaks Free Tips and Trends

2022 Epsom Oaks Betting Trends

Run over 1m4f the Epsom Oaks is the third of the five English Classics to be run each season and is for 3 year-old fillies.

Did you know that 13 of the last 20 winners came from stall 5 or higher, while trainers John Gosden and Aidan O’Brien have won the last 8 renewals between them.

Here at JUICESTORM we take a look back at recent winners and highlight the key trends and trainer stats ahead of the 2022 Epsom race – this year run on Friday 3rd June 2022.

 

Recent Epsom Oaks Winners

2021  – Snowfall (11/2)
2020 – Love (11/10 fav)
2019 – Anapurna (8/1)
2018 – Forever Together (7/1)
2017 – Enable (6/1)
2016 – Minding (10/11 fav)
2015 – Qualify (50/1)
2014 – Taghrooda (5/1)
2013 – Talent (20/1)
2012 – Was (20/1)
2011 – Dancing Rain (20/1)
2010 – Snow Fairy (9/1)
2009 – Sariska (9/4 fav)
2008 – Look Here (33/1)
2007 – Light Shift (13/2)
2006 – Alexandrova (9/4 fav)
2005 – Eswarah (11/4 jfav)
2004 – Ouija Board (7/2)
2003 – Casual Look (10/1)
2002 – Kazzia (10/3 fav)

Epsom Oaks Betting Trends

20/20 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
17/20 – Horses from stall 1 that were unplaced
17/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
13/20 – Won over at least 1m2f previously
13/20 – Won from stall 5 or higher
12/20 – Favourites that were placed
12/20 – Won last time out
7/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
7/20 – Irish-trained winners
6/20 – Won by the favourite (1 joint)
5/20 – Returned a double-figure price
5/20 – Ran in the English 1,000 Guineas
3/20 – Trained by John Gosden
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
1/20 – Had run over 1m4f before
0/20 – Had run at the course before
7 of the last 15 favourites were unplaced
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has won the race 9 times
Trainer John Gosden has won 3 of the last 8 runnings.
The average winning SP in the last 20 runnings is 11/1
Love (2020), Kazzia (2002) and Minding (2016) were the last horses to win both the 1,000 Guineas and Epsom Oaks
The horse from stall 2 has been placed in 7 of the last 20 runnings

JUICESTORM VERDICT: This Friday’s Epsom Oaks has been farmed since 2014 by the John Gosden and Aidan O’Brien stables  – they’ve won ALL of the last eight runnings between them – and, if the betting is anything to go by, it will be a huge surprise if one of these yards isn’t winning the Epsom Oaks again in 2022.

O’Brien Has Four Epsom Oaks Entries

Trainer Aidan O’Brien has four horses entered  in the 2022 Epsom Oaks – The Algarve, Thoughts Of June, Tuesday and Concert Hall – with the last two looking their better chances.

Concert Hall ran third last time out in the Irish 1000 Guineas at the Curragh and having won over 1m2f in her previous race looks well worth a go over this longer trip.

Tuesday also have some solid form – also running in the Irish 1000 Guineas (2nd) and before that was third in the English 1000 Guineas. Being by former Derby winner Galileo, she should also improve now moving up from a mile to 1m4f for the first time.

Emily Upjohn Epsom Oaks Market Leader

After winning all three of her starts, the John Gosden stable will be responsible for the Epsom Oaks favourite here – EMILY UPJOHN.  She was a super-impressive winner of the Musidora Stakes at York last month (5 1/2 lengths) and certainly wasn’t stopping over that 1m 2 1/2f trip to suggest this longer distance will be fine.

Her sire is also the previous 2009 Epsom Derby winner – Sea The Stars – which also suggests she’ll be fine over this 1m4f trip.

With jockey Frankie Dettori, who has won the Epsom Oaks three times in the last five years, doing the steering she’ll also have plenty of experience in the saddle as Gosden looks for his fourth success in this race.

Gosden also has a useful second string horse in Nashwa, if Emily Upjohn doesn’t live up to her billing. This 3 year-old will also have Hollie Doyle riding, who is looking  to become the first lady rider to win an English Classic.

The horse has won her last two in good fashion, with the last coming in a Listed race at Newbury over 1m2f – she’s certainly not without a chance.

Best Of The Others

The Godolphin stable last won the Epsom Oaks back in 2002 (Kazzia), so will be hoping their WITH THE MOONLIGHT (e/w) can put an end to that 19 year run without a win. She has a chance too – having bolted-up by just under 5 lengths last time in the Pretty Polly Stakes at Newmarket over 1m2f.

This well-bred Frankel filly should also improve for that last outing too as it came off a 183-day break and having run on strongly last time this 1m4f distance looks well worth a crack. Jockey William Buick gets the leg-up.

 

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