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- Saturday Horse Racing Trends and Free Tips: 1st Oct 2022 - September 30, 2022
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The Eider Chase is run over a gruelling 4m1f trip at Newcastle racecourse and is a handicap race that is seen as another key Grand National trial ahead of the big Liverpool race the following month. In recent years the David Pipe-trained Comply Or Die (2008) is the most recent example of the winner of this race going onto land the Merseyside Marathon that same season.
Did you know ? 15 of the last 17 winners were aged 10 or younger, while 11 of the last 17 successful horses came from the top three in the betting.
We take a look back at recent winners and give you all the key trends and stats to take into the 2022 renewal – this year run on Saturday 26th February.
Recent Eider Chase Winners
2021 – SAMS ADVENTURE (15/2)
2020 – No Race
2019 – CROSSPARK (12/1)
2018 – BAYWING (8/1)
2017 – MYSTEREE (10/1)
2016 – ROCKING BLUES (8/1)
2015 – MILBOROUGH (18/1)
2014 – WYCK HILL (9/1)
2013 – No Race
2012 – PORTRAIT KING (11/4fav)
2011 – COMPANERO (16/1)
2010 – No Race
2009 – MERIGO (5/1)
2008 – COMPLY OR DIE (11/1)
2007 – NIL DESPERANDUM (6/1)
2006 – PHILSON RUN (10/1)
2005 – No Race
2004 – TYNEANDTHYNEAGAIN (28/1)
2003 – No Race
2002 – THIS IS SERIOUS (4/1 fav)
2001 – NARROW WATER (6/1)
2000 – SCOTTON GREEN (8/1)
Eider Chase Betting Trends
17/17 – Had won over at least 3m before
15/17 – Aged 10 or younger
14/17 – Carried 10-13 or more
14/17 – Priced 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
12/17 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/17 – Irish-bred
11/17 – Winners came from the top 3 in the betting
11/17 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/17 – Officially rated between 131-140
11/17 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
9/17 – Placed favourites
5/17 – Won last time out
5/17 – Won over 3m4f or further before
3/17 – Carried 11-12 in weight
2/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 17 runnings is 10/1
JUICESTORM VERDICT: Stamina will be the order of the day here, over this 4m1f trip, while with 15 of the last 17 winners aged 10 or younger this would be a negative for the older horses in the race – Achille, Potters Corner, Lake View Lad and Gwencily Berbos. 14 of the last 17 winners also carried 10st 13lbs or more, which is most fit the bill – but it still allows us to put a potential negative line through Gwencily Berbos, History Of Fashion, Court Master, Just Your Type, Cash To Ash, Danilo D’Airy and Strong Economy. It’s been the 8 and 9 year-olds that have the best record in the race recently – winning 11 of the last 17. Irish raider, History Of Fashion has been popular in the betting all week and could easily go off favourite after a nice 8 length win at Down Royal last time, but is up 11lbs for that. Domaine De L’Isle, Danilo D’Airy and Checkitout are others you can make cases for. Cash To Ash loves to finish second – he’s picked up four silver medals in the last four runs! But that tells us he’s a consistent sort and is also versatile in terms of trip – having won over 3m and also ran a close second in the Scottish Borders National at Kelso in December. With just 10st 7lbs he can go well too. But the two we’ll be siding with here are ÉCLAIR SURF and RATH AN LUIR (e/w). The former bolted up in the Classic Chase at Warwick last time out and seemed to love the step up to 3m 5f that day. Yes, he’s got another 4 furlongs to go here and is up 10lbs in the ratings for that, but has had a nice break (42 days) to get over that day and run another solid race. Rath An Luir would have needed the run last time at Ayr as that came off a 399-day break. Prior to that at the end of 2020 he won twice at Carlisle and is back here just 2lbs higher than the last of those wins. He’s a course winner too that will love the soft ground and despite his age (9) is very lightly-raced with only seven career runs.
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