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One or two unexpected results in La Liga last weekend with three performances standing out, Celta winning 4-0 in Eibar after playing three times in a week and Betis whose second half display demolished Levante with four goals plus Getafe hammering Villarreal by the same 4-0 scoreline. Normally the performance of Valencia away at Sociedad would be the headlines but that was less unexpected with Valencia continuing to look a real threat to the top three. Real continue to struggle as Zidane searches for his best team and formation; they are however creating plenty of chances, just failing to convert. Someone soon will be on the end of a hiding. Barcelona are playing better but the loss of Dembele may affect them and Atletico will have real belief that this could again be their year after seeing off Sevilla, a game I was at. The new ground the Wanda Metropolitano is typical of the new stadiums in that there are no restricted views and plenty of room but it just lacks a little of the atmosphere that the old fashioned British grounds had. Atletico deserved to win but Sevilla are a decent side and any team that is prepared to attack Atletico could reap rewards. Joaquin Correa caused them plenty of problems when he came on and the young Argentine is one to watch for the future.
Saturday 30th September 2017
Deportivo v Getafe
Depor fell apart last week at Espanyol whilst Getafe looked really good against Villarreal. Getafe have a great head to head record in recent years with five wins and three draws in the last eight meetings today, five of the eight were Over 2.5 goals. In the four head to head in Corunna the scores were 0-2, 1-2, 1-1 and 2-2. Getafe have lost only to Barcelona and Sevilla this season whilst Deportivo have won just once with one draw. On current form and past stats it has to be Getafe and they are available at 3.40 (12/5) which is tempting but I just have a nagging doubt about this one and the safest option is probably to look at Both Teams To Score at 1.73 (8/11) as Deportivo have scored in every game except against Real Madrid.
Sevilla v Malaga
Malaga finally ended their run of five straight losses this season with an excellent fighting point coming from 3-1 down and down to ten men, to rescue a point with two late goals. That may boost their confidence for the trip to Seville and they will need it. Sevilla lost at Atletico last week, their first defeat this season and face a European tie this midweek, but they should still be too strong at home. Malaga used to have a great record in this fixture but in recent seasons Sevilla have had the edge with four wins and two draws in the last eight meetings today. In Seville the scores were 4-1, 2-1, 2-1 and 2-2. Add to that six of the last eight were Over 2.5 goals and we should get Over 2.5 here although the odds are prohibitive at 1.57 (4/7) and a better option could be Both Teams To Score at 1.91 (10/11). For those that like the specials markets Sevilla to win and BTTS is available at 2.88 (15/8).
Sunday 1st October 2017
Valencia v Athletic Bilbao
Valencia are probably the most exciting side to watch at present and are unbeaten with three wins and three draws. In contrast Bilbao have been stop start with two wins two draws and two defeats. Anyone who saw Valencia defeat Sociedad and Athletic capitulate to Malaga with the game won last weekend will see nothing but a home win. On past meetings today there is little to choose with four draws and two wins each from the last eight. This is on situation where we must mark up this new look Valencia side and unless they fail to perform then they should run out winners. Might be best to just keep this simple with a win for the home side at 1.85 (17/20).
Real Sociedad v Real Betis
Two teams with contrasting fortunes as Sociedad won their first three but then lost three in a row, Betis started slowly with two losses in their first three but have won their last three including in the Bernabeu. Tipping Betis to win away is usually a quick way to the poor house but on recent performances they can win this. Sociedad have had the better of this fixture in recent times winning the last three in San Sebastian and five of the last six meetings today overall. Betis at 4.00 (3/1) would have been tempting but Over 2.5 goals covers more options at 1.66 (4/6) and is the best option. All six Sociedad games have gone Over 2.5 with four of six going Over 3.5. Betis games have been a little less exciting but four of six have gone Over 2.5 goals.
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