La Liga Trading Focus: 11th-13th July 2020

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Saturday 11th July 2020

Valladolid v Barcelona

Barca will keep pushing Real all the way so a win here is vital. Three recent meetings today all won by Barca with the game in Valladolid ending 0-1. Three of the last four overall head to head saw just one goal. Valladolid are tough to break down but Barcelona -1 goal on the handicap at 1.91 is a decent option here.

Valladolid 29% Over 2.5 goals 9% Over 3.5 goals

Barcelona 63% Over 2.5 goals 49% Over 3.5 goals

Since the restart Valladolid have managed four draws, two wins and two defeats. Barcelona have won five and drawn three. Valladolid have had six of those eight games finish Under 2.5 goals, Barcelona four Under and four Over.

Atletico Madrid v Real Betis

Betis have only won once in the last fourteen head to head, but that was last season at home by 1-0. Six of the last seven meetings today were under 2.5 goals and unless we get an early goal, that could again be the case here. I’m going to go against the stats here as I think Atletico will go for it and Over 2.5 goals at 2.05 will do as a trade.

Atletico Madrid 31% Over 2.5 goals 20% Over 3.5 goals

Real Betis 60% Over 2.5 goals 29% Over 3.5 goals

Since the restart Atletico are unbeaten with five wins and three draws with four Under and four Over. Betis have won two drawn two and lost four, with five Under and three Over.

Sunday 12th July 2020

Sevilla v Mallorca

Only one recent meeting back in December which Sevilla won 2-0 in Mallorca. Mallorca can still mathematically stay up but they will not so Sevilla should be good things here. The downside to going with Sevilla is the amount of draws they play, five of the last nine games at home. Trade Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 and hope for a quiet start.

Sevilla 38% Over 2.5 goals 21% Over 3.5 goals

Mallorca 50% Over 2.5 goals 29% Over 3.5 goals

Since the restart Sevilla are unbeaten with three wins and four draws. Five of the seven were Under 2.5 goals. Mallorca have won one drawn one and lost five, with three Under and four Over.

Monday 13th July 2020

Villarreal v Real Sociedad

A win is vital for both teams in their push for a European place and Villarreal have had the better of recent fixtures, winning three of the last four. Recent games in Villarreal ended 1-2, 4-2, 2-1 and 0-0. This is a strange game to trade, an early goal and we could get plenty, but with a lot at stake it could be tight. On current form, Villarreal are backable at 2.25 with a view to taking your stake back if they lead.

Villarreal 66% Over 2.5 goals 31% Over 3.5 goals

Real Sociedad 62% Over 2.5 goals 21% Over 3.5 goals

Since the restart Villarreal have lost only to Barcelona, with six wins and a draw. Five games were Under and three Over 2.5 goals. Sociedad have been shocking, with four defeats, two draws and one win. Four of those seven games were Under 2.5 goals.

Granada v Real Madrid

These two have met thirteen times in total with twelve wins for Madrid and one for Granada. Six of the last seven meetings today were Over 2.5 goals with the most recent games in Granada ending 0-4, 1-2 and 0-4. Real cannot be opposed at present as they seem to be playing to a plan that is working. Granada have had a decent season and a solid mid-table finish awaits. Purely on the recent stats, Trade Under 2.5 goals at 2.10.

Granada 44% Over 2.5 goals 15% Over 3.5 goals

Real Madrid 47% Over 2.5 goals 29% Over 3.5 goals

Since the restart Granada have had two wins, three draws and two defeats. Four games were Over and three Under. Real have won all seven with three Over and four Under and five games were won to Nil.

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