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International Friendly
Sunday 5th June 2021
England v Romania 17:00
- FIFA World Rankings, England 4, Romania 43
- Met 11 times before, England 2, Draw 6, Romania 3
- Last met (2000, Euro Champs), England 2-3 Romania
- Romania are unbeaten in their last 7 vs England
- 4 of the last 6 head-to-heads ended in DRAWS
- 4 of the last 6 head-to-heads went UNDER 2.5 GOALS
- Both teams scored in the last 4 head-to-heads
- 6 of England’s last 10 games went OVER 2.5 GOALS
- Both teams DIDN’T score in 7 of England’s last 8 games
- England have lost just 1 of their last 7 games
- England have scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 7 games
- England have conceded just 3 goals in their last 7 games
- Harry Kane has scored in 2 of England’s last 3 games
- Harry Kane is England’s current top scorer (34)
- 8 of Romania’s last 1 games went OVER 2.5 GOALS
- Romania have lost their last 3 games
- Both teams scored in 4 of Romania’s last 5 games
- Harry Kane is England’s current top scorer (34)
The final Euro 2020 warm-up game for Gareth Southgate’s England this Sunday sees the Three Lions take on Romania at the Riverside Stadium in Middlesbrough.
The sides are separated by 39 places on the FIFA World Rankings, with England at 4th and Romania down at 43rd, so it’s no shock to see that reflected in the match betting with England at 1.28, the Draw 5.50 and Romania 10.00.
However, it’s Romania that have the better overall head-to-head record and are actually unbeaten in their last 7 vs England.
That said, they last met 21 years ago in Euro 2000, with that resulting in a 3-2 win for Romania after goals for England from Alan Shearer and Michael Owen.
With 4 of the last 6 head-to-heads ending in DRAWS, this outcome might be popular, and Austria showed in England’s last game that these sorts of teams do have the capability to frustrate the better sides.
But Romania didn’t even qualify for the upcoming European Championships and also head here having lost their last three games. In contrast, England have lost just one of their last seven and that defeat came at the hands of the FIFA ranked number 1 side, Belgium.
The Three Lions have also only let in 3 goals in their last 7 games, while both teams ‘DIDN’T’ score in 7 of England’s last 8 games – this don’t look bad value at 1.72.
Over 2.5 goals is 1.60, with Under 2.30, but with 8 of Romania’s last 11 games seeing 3+ goals and 6 of England’s going that way too, then goals in the game is sure to be popular.
The scoring markets in a game like this are always going to rely on team news, but England hitman Harry Kane is 3.50 (1st) and 1.61 (anytime), while Raheem Sterling is 5.50 (1st) or 2.20 (anytime).
We are going to play this game in the both teams ‘not’ to score market though – this bet has paid out in 88% of England’s last 8 matches, so the 1.72 on offer looks a decent option.
JUICESTORM VERDICT: BOTH TEAMS ‘NOT’ TO SCORE @1.72