Championship Trading Focus: 28th-29th Sept 2018

Championship football tips

Andy

 

Friday 28th September 2018

Sheff Wed v Leeds

A Yorkshire derby with added spice thrown in as Leeds lost for the first time last weekend. It will be interesting to see how the players react to that defeat but they have won on two of their last four visits to Hillsborough. I think the safest option here could be both teams to score as both sides have scored in all their games except one this season and I cannot see either side sitting back here.

Saturday 29th September 2018

Blackburn v Nottingham Forest

Both sides are in really good form losing just one match each in their opening nine games but they have both drawn too many games, five apiece. Blackburn have had the better of the fixture recently and the last six head to head have seen three wins for them and three draws. Too obvious to be a draw again?

Bolton v Derby

A good fixture in recent years for Derby with five wins and four draws in the last nine head to head. In fact Derby have won the last three and five of the last six meetings today. Derby showed good fight to beat a tough Brentford side, after going a goal behind, and the goal chances they failed to convert in midweek, were taken at the weekend. Derby have lost one of six and are settling down but Bolton have not won in five. Looks like an away win but taking Evs on a visiting team in this league is fraught with danger.

Birmingham v Ipswich

The two of them have struggled this season but Birmingham had a huge win at Leeds last week and that may kick start their season. Ipswich have not won yet but have managed five draws with lack of goals the major problem. Birmingham have also struggled to find the net but have at least been solid in defence and have drawn six themselves this season. Birmingham have won the last three meetings today at St Andrews and there have been four draws in the last ten head to head. A stalemate is a real possibility here.

Hull v Middlesbrough

The first thing that springs to mind here is lack of goals but the head to head stats do not back that up. Six of the ten most recent meetings today were Over 2.5 goals which is a little surprising considering Middlesbrough’s last seven games have all been under although that is more likely under Tony Pulis. Four of the last six Hull games have gone Over and four of the last five head to head at Hull have been Over. I find this a really difficult game to call but if pushed would Lay the home side for small stakes.

Brentford v Reading

Brentford are extremely strong at home and have been playing really well of late but suffered a reverse at Derby after leading 1-0. They have won all four home games so should be too strong for a Reading side who have hit a little form themselves, winning two of their last three. Five of the last eight head to head were Over 2.5 goals and that looks the solid option here.

Note: Odds are subject to change.

 

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