Championship Trading Focus: 19th-20th Jan 2019

Championship football tips

Andy

 

Friday 19th January 2019

Norwich v Birmingham

A great game to start the weekend and Norwich really need to get back on the winning track as four of their last games have ended level. Birmingham had been on a decent run of one loss in eight before losing to Middlesbrough last week. Recent head to head has seen five of nine games end in draws giving Birmingham hope of getting something out of the game, but the last four meetings today at Norwich ended 1-0, 2-0, 2-2 and 1-1 with six of the last nine head to head being Under 2.5 goals. On current season form I think there will be goals and I feel Norwich are going to give someone a thumping sooner rather than later. Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 with a small interest on Over 2.5 at 3.60 as trading options.

Saturday 20th January 2019

Derby v Reading

One of best known stats in this division is the recent record or Reading at Pride Park where they seem to play their best football. They have won five and drawn one of their last seven visits to Derby and the last four overall head to head have all gone Over 2.5 goals. Derby have drawn their last three at home and themselves need to get on a winning run following their defeat at Leeds last weekend. The problem with siding with Reading is their poor form, ten games without a win before their victory over Forest last week. This is a tough call as Derby should win but not for me at 1.70 and I would rather take the 1.75 on Over 2.5 goals.

Swansea v Sheff Utd

Swansea are unbeaten in three games, with inconsistency their problem and the in-form visitors, Sheff Utd have won their last four and will be strongly fancied by many. Only three recent head to head with two Swansea wins and a win for Sheff Utd. Current form could be the key, so a Lay of Swansea at around 2.80 gives us the draw on side.

Nottm Forest v Bristol City

Forest have won only one of their last seven and may have a new manager in place by kick-off time and if the rumours are correct, it will be ex player Martin O’Neill which will at least lift the spirits at the club. Bristol City are unbeaten in nine and have won three of their last four away, so O’Neill’s magic will need to work straight away.  This fixture is usually quite dull with seven of the last ten meetings today Under 2.5 goals including five of the last six in Nottingham. It is difficult to gauge the impact of a new manager, but Forest had been fairly decent earlier in the season and could well bounce back here and might be worth chancing at 2.40 with a view to trading. A better option may be Both Teams To Score at 1.91.

QPR v Preston

The home team are in decent nick and have lost just one in six whilst Preston have struggled recently and have not won in five. They have won on their last two visits to Loftus Road so that gives them some hope. Preston have scored only one first half goal away from home this season so clearly set out to frustrate and this could be a game to trade the correct scores with 1-0 and 1-1 the suggestions to trade for a green book.

Blackburn v Ipswich

Rovers have won their last two and Ipswich had lost three before beating Rotherham last weekend. The head to head at Blackburn reads 0-0, 2-0, 3-2, 2-0 and 1-0 with four of the five Under 2.5 goals. Those strong home stats make Blackburn look a solid proposition at 1.66 but I think Ipswich are certainly improving and 5.50 is a bit of an insult and they are worth a small stake to trade out if they lead.

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