Football Trading Strategies
- The TopTrap Greyhound Profit And Loss Account On Betfair - March 17, 2022
- Betfair Best Execution – 11 Requested & Filled At 320 - January 16, 2022
- BTB System e-book - March 13, 2015
Football trading experts Bingo Little and Adster give us a few pointers on trading football matches.
Correct Score Summary tips – Bingo Little
1. Decide if you think it’s going to be low or high scoring (this will determine your stake on 0-0)
2. Be prepared to increase your initial liability at any time in the game. It’s not just about laying off the green you already have. You may have to back other scores
3. Try to think 2 goals ahead. If it’s 1-0, say, after 20mins concentrate on 3-0/3-1 rather than 2-0. Of course the odds on those scores are higher & therefore give you more leverage if another goal is scored
4. Not to everyone’s taste but I usually lay current score @ 1.2 at end of first half & end of game. Liability’s small….& lots of goals seem to be scored at these moments
Correct Score Summary tips – Adster
When trading the correct score markets there are certain criteria I look for.
In a closely matched game oddswise which is considered to be a low scorer, (I go on head to heads, recent fixtures/results) before making a judgment call. For a game to fit this criteria I will back the 0-0 and 1-1 scoreline. Stakes used can be £10/£20 on 0-0 and £50/£100 on 1-1. The odds I will look for is the 0-0 to be at least 11s and at least 7.2 for 1-1.
When trading this type of correct score market I will be watching the game and laying off the 0-0 normally around 15 to 25 minutes in when the price drops to around 6s for a green screen. (The 1-1 price would remain at around what it started until around 30 mins plus, when it will start to drift if the score is 0-0).
IF a goal goes in first 10 minutes and the 1-1 price drifts out I will lay off around 80% of it and cover scores around it, ie home team scores I will use the lay money from 1-1 to cover, 2-0, 2-1, 3-1 etc.
Certain games I feel will be high scoring, again going on head to heads/recent results etc. I will then cover the higher scores for the game with the 0-0 as insurance, for example, 0-0, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 3-1, 1-3, AUQ. As goals go in you adjust your position by laying off the bigger prices as necessary.
Another method is scalping the scores. Start of a game the 1-0 and 0-1 in an even game trade around 8s. As the game progresses the odds drop before a goal is scored. Often I will scalp using £20 on both scores if little action or if one team is stronger I will back them at say 8s and lay off 2 or 3 ticks lower using £20………..
This can also be done on 0-0 but is far riskier as a goal for either sides and you can be caught! At least with the 1-0, 0-1 scalping you will be correct on one of them if a goal goes in…….
Laying the draw with 0-0 Insurance Strategy – Adster
Finding the correct games, criteria as follows:
Home team at 2s or under
Lay draw no higher than 3.85
0-0 at least 12s
If the unfavoured away side first I will back the draw for 50% of lay stake and lay unfavoured who scored for 75% of lay stake. For example, see below. This is not from a live game but a fair reflection as to what would happen if the wrong team scores first and where the prices would be in relation to their odds at kick off.
So if the game remains 1-0 to the unfavoured you have limited losses but if the favourite equalises which is to be expected it would allow a green screen to be made.
Fig. 1 – Lay the draw for £50 at 3.85
Fig. 2 – Iceland score so back the draw for £25 at 3.6, Lay Iceland for £37.50 at 2.7
Fig. 3 – Macedonia equalise so back them for £50 at 2.0 to green up across all outcomes.
In 2021 TradeHost traded 7,937 Betfair UK, IE, US & AU horse racing and greyhound markets.
2022 saw TradeHost become even more profitable with 22,698 Betfair markets traded.