Swing Trades On Larger Ranges Are More Suitable For Most Betfair Traders
If you lay at odds of 4.00 your risk is lower than your reward over the short-term
The JuiceStorm team built TradeHost for profitable automated trading and betting on Betfair in the UK, IE, AU and US horse racing markets. TradeHost Lite started in 2013 and is free forever.
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Most Betfair markets operate in a range. It can be a wide range or a tight range. The market may be volatile or mature.
Trading a market will often depend on the size of the price range. Tightly traded range? Ideal for scalping. It only moves a few ticks up or down in any direction. Laying at the bottom of the range and backing at the top in anticipation the price will remain static is a fairly safe strategy.
However, watch that the price doesn’t break outside the range. Remember your stop loss that I written about before.
A swing trading approach for larger trading ranges is usually more suitable for most traders. Swing trading differs to scalping. Instead of looking for 1 or 2 ticks, you may choose to trade to trade five or 10 ticks. Sometimes a lot more.
Crossover Points
There are points in the Betfair odds system that we call “crossover points”. Odds such as 4.00 where the tick below is 3.95 (0.05 away) and the tick above is 4.10 (0.10 away). It often makes sense to lay at odds of 4.00 as your risk is lower than your reward over the short-term. Trading software can help you easily seize these opportunities.
The market often pauses at crossover points. Support and resistance can become imbalanced too, as lots of people are keen to place their lay bets. You might also see the market spike downwards if it breaks through a crossover point, as all of the layers close out of their positions.
From 1.01 to 2.00 one tick is equal to 0.01
From 2.02 to 3.00 on tick is equal to 0.02. Lay at 2 (0.2p in the pound)
From 3.05 to 4.00 one tick is equal to 0.05. Lay at 3 (0.5p in the pound)
From 4.1 to 6.0 one tick is equal to 0.1. Lay at 4 (1p in the pound)
From 6.2 to 10.0 one tick is equal to 0.2. Lay at 6 (2p in the pound)
That’s it for today. Next week we’ll start our countdown of the Top Ten Trading Mistakes. We’ll look at number 9 and 10 first. And countdown to number 1. Any idea on what some will be?
In 2021 TradeHost traded 7,937 Betfair UK, IE, US & AU horse racing and greyhound markets.
2022 saw TradeHost become even more profitable with 22,698 Betfair markets traded.
2023 less markets were traded – 17,459 – but a with a similar profit to 2022.
All trades and bets were streamed live on JuiceStorm TV which was was watched by 124,209 traders in 2022.
All results for the 48,094 Betfair markets traded are here and the charts are here.
Top 100 Comments on JuiceStorm.com
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